Uncertainty forecasting of renewable energy power is of great significance to improve the capacity of renewable energy consumption and ensure the power systems’ safe and stable operation. Uncertainty forecasting
which includes interval forecasting
probability forecasting
and scenario generation
is a hot research topic. Compared with deterministic forecasting
uncertain forecasting can provide richer information and reflect the uncertainty of renewable energy power from more dimensions such as the change interval
the probability of occurrence
and the possible scenarios. Based on the clues of interval forecasting
probability forecasting
and scenario generation
this paper summarizes the uncertainty forecasting techniques of renewable energy power. The development trend of uncertainty forecasting of renewable energy power is analyzed from the number of published papers
year
distribution of journals
and other aspects. The classification of uncertainty forecasting technology is introduced. The theory and model of uncertainty forecasting are described
and the existing renewable energy power forecasting system and uncertainty forecasting evaluation indexes are summarized and analyzed. Finally
combined with the research status and development trend of renewable energy power forecasting
the research direction worthy of attention is put forward. The research results of this paper provide references for the research on uncertainty forecasting of renewable energy power.