XIE Le, QIU Wei, LI Zhenwei, et al. Prediction Model of Dissolved Gas in Transformer Oil Based on Variational Modal Decomposition and Recurrent Neural Network with Gated Recurrent Unit[J]. 2022, 48(2): 653-660.
XIE Le, QIU Wei, LI Zhenwei, et al. Prediction Model of Dissolved Gas in Transformer Oil Based on Variational Modal Decomposition and Recurrent Neural Network with Gated Recurrent Unit[J]. 2022, 48(2): 653-660.DOI:
Dissolved gas analysis in oil is an effective method for early fault diagnosis of the transformer. Accurate prediction of dissolved gas volume fraction in oil can provide a theoretical basis for early fault monitoring and early warning of the transformer. In this paper
a prediction method of dissolved gases in transformer oil based on variational mode decomposition(VMD) and recurrent neural network with gated recurrent unit(GRU-RNN) was proposed. Firstly
the original time series of dissolved gases volume fraction in oil of transformer were decomposed into sub-series by VMD to reduce the influence of instability. Then
the GRU-RNN prediction method was used to predict the sub-series in one step and multi-step
respectively. Finally
the predicted sub-series were superposed and reconstructed to obtain the one-step and multi-step prediction of dissolved gas volume fraction in transformer oil. The results show that the mean absolute error(MAE) and root mean square error(RMSE) of the method are 0.057 6 and 0.068 4
respectively
and the MAE and RMSE of the multi-step prediction are 0.167 9 and 0.204 1
respectively. Compared with other prediction methods
the proposed method in this paper has a great improvement in single-step and multi-step prediction ability
which provides a reference for the power transformer monitoring and early warning.