高红均, 郭明浩, 刘俊勇, 刘挺坚, 贺帅佳. 从四川高温干旱限电事件看新型电力系统保供挑战与应对展望[J]. 中国电机工程学报, 2023, 43(12): 4517-4537. DOI: 10.13334/j.0258-8013.pcsee.222971
引用本文: 高红均, 郭明浩, 刘俊勇, 刘挺坚, 贺帅佳. 从四川高温干旱限电事件看新型电力系统保供挑战与应对展望[J]. 中国电机工程学报, 2023, 43(12): 4517-4537. DOI: 10.13334/j.0258-8013.pcsee.222971
GAO Hongjun, GUO Minghao, LIU Junyong, LIU Tingjian, HE Shuaijia. Power Supply Challenges and Prospects in New Power System from Sichuan Electricity Curtailment Events Caused by High-temperature Drought Weather[J]. Proceedings of the CSEE, 2023, 43(12): 4517-4537. DOI: 10.13334/j.0258-8013.pcsee.222971
Citation: GAO Hongjun, GUO Minghao, LIU Junyong, LIU Tingjian, HE Shuaijia. Power Supply Challenges and Prospects in New Power System from Sichuan Electricity Curtailment Events Caused by High-temperature Drought Weather[J]. Proceedings of the CSEE, 2023, 43(12): 4517-4537. DOI: 10.13334/j.0258-8013.pcsee.222971

从四川高温干旱限电事件看新型电力系统保供挑战与应对展望

Power Supply Challenges and Prospects in New Power System from Sichuan Electricity Curtailment Events Caused by High-temperature Drought Weather

  • 摘要: 2022年8月,四川遭遇大范围长时间极端高温干旱天气,从而面临“三最”叠加的局面,即历史同期最高极端温度、最少降水量、最高电力负荷。四川水电大幅减发,而负荷又急剧攀升,造成较大的电力供需缺口,继而发生严峻的应急限电事件,引起业界广泛关注。基于此,从高温干旱极端天气出发,剖析了四川限电事件的关键影响因素,并着重对四川源网荷储灵活性资源进行了深入分析。其次,从电力保供维度归纳了新型电力系统电源侧随机化、电网侧互联化、负荷侧电气化、灵活资源市场化与运行控制智能化等多维特征。进一步,从规划、运行、交易、政策4个层面研判新能源占比逐渐提高的新型电力系统将面临的保供挑战。最后,对规划、运行、交易、政策4个层面的挑战提出相应的应对措施、解决思路与建议,为新型电力系统电力保供提供思路。

     

    Abstract: In August 2022, Sichuan suffered a wide range of long-term extreme high temperature and drought weather, thus facing the "Three Most" superposition of the situation; that is, the highest extreme temperature, the least precipitation, and the highest power load. The substantial reduction of hydropower and the sharp rise of load have resulted in a large power supply and demand gap, which led to severe emergency electricity curtailment event. This event caused widespread concern in the industry. Therefore, this paper analyzes the key influencing factors of the Sichuan electricity curtailment event from the perspective of extreme high-temperature and drought weather, and focuses on an in-depth analysis of Sichuan's flexibility resources including power generation, network, load and storage aspects. Secondly, the multi-dimensional characteristics of the new-generation power system such as generation-side randomization, network-side interconnection, load-side electrification, flexibility-side marketization and operation-side intelligentization are summarized from the power supply dimension. Furthermore, from planning, operation, trading and policy perspective, the electricity supply challenges faced by the new-generation power system integrated with an increasing proportion of new energy such as wind power and photovoltaic power are analyzed. Finally, the corresponding countermeasures, solutions and suggestions are proposed for the above challenges in terms of planning, operation, trading and policy to provide power supply guarantee ideas for new-generation power system.

     

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