董馨月, 杨金鹏, 张金良. 碳市场政策对发电企业碳排放量及利润的影响:基于多主体模拟的分析方法[J]. 中国电机工程学报, 2024, 44(20): 8049-8060. DOI: 10.13334/j.0258-8013.pcsee.241281
引用本文: 董馨月, 杨金鹏, 张金良. 碳市场政策对发电企业碳排放量及利润的影响:基于多主体模拟的分析方法[J]. 中国电机工程学报, 2024, 44(20): 8049-8060. DOI: 10.13334/j.0258-8013.pcsee.241281
DONG Xinyue, YANG Jinpeng, ZHANG Jinliang. Impact of Carbon Market Policies on Carbon Emissions and Profits of Power Generation Enterprises Using an Agent-based Approach[J]. Proceedings of the CSEE, 2024, 44(20): 8049-8060. DOI: 10.13334/j.0258-8013.pcsee.241281
Citation: DONG Xinyue, YANG Jinpeng, ZHANG Jinliang. Impact of Carbon Market Policies on Carbon Emissions and Profits of Power Generation Enterprises Using an Agent-based Approach[J]. Proceedings of the CSEE, 2024, 44(20): 8049-8060. DOI: 10.13334/j.0258-8013.pcsee.241281

碳市场政策对发电企业碳排放量及利润的影响:基于多主体模拟的分析方法

Impact of Carbon Market Policies on Carbon Emissions and Profits of Power Generation Enterprises Using an Agent-based Approach

  • 摘要: 当前,碳市场(carbon emissions trading,CET)作为一种创新的碳减排机制,已在我国成为一种减缓碳排放增长的关键策略。然而我国在关于碳市场的政策体系方面仍有待完善,特别在政策的松紧程度对经济和环境的影响上还缺乏有效的论证。基于此,构建一个基于多主体模拟的碳市场交易模型,从电力企业、政府、用户3类主体的行为入手,自底向上地分析不同碳市场政策情景对企业经济效益和碳排放的影响,旨在为我国出台合适的碳市场政策提供参考。研究结果表明:政府应适当放开对碳价的限制以激发电力企业技术更新的意愿;政府在出台碳超排惩罚政策、碳配额分配政策以及技术更新补贴政策时,应做好经济与环境间的平衡,既确保政策能有效推动减排,又保证企业经济效益;电力企业应积极引入更先进的碳减排技术,承担社会责任,以助力实现碳中和。

     

    Abstract: At present, as an innovative carbon emission reduction mechanism, carbon emissions trading (CET) has become a key strategy for slowing down the growth of carbon emissions in China. However, China's policy system regarding the carbon market still needs to be improved, especially lacking effective demonstrations on the impact of the tightness of policies on the economy and the environment. Therefore, this paper constructs a carbon market trading model using an agent-based approach, starting from the behaviors of three types of agents, namely, power enterprises, the government and users, and analyzes the impacts of different carbon market policy scenarios on the economic benefits and carbon emissions of enterprises from the bottom up, aiming to provide a reference for China to introduce appropriate carbon market policies. The research results show that the government should appropriately lift restrictions on carbon prices to stimulate the willingness of power enterprises to update technologies. When introducing policies on carbon over-emission penalties, carbon quota allocation, and technology update subsidies, the government should strike a balance between the economy and the environment to ensure that the policies can effectively promote emission reduction while guaranteeing the economic benefits of enterprises. Electric power enterprises should actively introduce more advanced carbon emission reduction technologies and undertake social responsibilities to contribute to achieving carbon neutrality.

     

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