李妍莎, 蔡晔, 曹一家, 李政洋, 施星宇. 基于潮流转移相似性的连锁故障高危环节辨识[J]. 中国电机工程学报, 2024, 44(23): 9122-9133. DOI: 10.13334/j.0258-8013.pcsee.230837
引用本文: 李妍莎, 蔡晔, 曹一家, 李政洋, 施星宇. 基于潮流转移相似性的连锁故障高危环节辨识[J]. 中国电机工程学报, 2024, 44(23): 9122-9133. DOI: 10.13334/j.0258-8013.pcsee.230837
LI Yansha, CAI Ye, CAO Yijia, LI Zhengyang, SHI Xingyu. High-risk Links Identification for Cascading Failures Based on the Power Flow Transfer Similarity[J]. Proceedings of the CSEE, 2024, 44(23): 9122-9133. DOI: 10.13334/j.0258-8013.pcsee.230837
Citation: LI Yansha, CAI Ye, CAO Yijia, LI Zhengyang, SHI Xingyu. High-risk Links Identification for Cascading Failures Based on the Power Flow Transfer Similarity[J]. Proceedings of the CSEE, 2024, 44(23): 9122-9133. DOI: 10.13334/j.0258-8013.pcsee.230837

基于潮流转移相似性的连锁故障高危环节辨识

High-risk Links Identification for Cascading Failures Based on the Power Flow Transfer Similarity

  • 摘要: 辨识连锁故障的起源和核心传播路径是阻断和预警电力信息物理系统(cyber physical power system,CPPS)连锁故障快速发展的关键。信息物理的耦合使得故障跨域传播的概率和故障危害放大的风险增加,但潮流大规模不均衡的转移仍是连锁故障快速发展的内在驱动力。该文提出一种基于潮流转移相似性的连锁故障高危环节识别方法。首先,构建CPPS的故障跨域传播模型模拟连锁故障中的潮流重分配与优化调度过程;其次,揭示从故障源发到级联跨域传播,直至系统解列过程中普遍存在潮流转移相似性,提出直接和间接潮流转移相似性的概念及计算方法;由此量化源发故障触发连锁跳闸的风险以及继发故障的潮流转移的危险后果,进而全面辨识连锁故障中高危环节;最后,以IEEE 118节点CPPS和中国某省实际CPPS为例仿真验证。仿真结果表明,所提方法能够有效识别连锁故障起源和发展中的高危环节。在源发故障阶段,高危组合故障更容易诱发连锁故障并导致大停电事故。在继发故障阶段,保护高危输电线路可有效地降低连锁故障的规模和事故损失。

     

    Abstract: Identifying the origins and primary propagation pathways of cascading failures is crucial for preventing the rapid development of cascading failures in the cyber physical power system (CPPS). The coupling between information and physics increases the probability of cross-domain fault propagation and amplifies the risks of fault consequences, but the large-scale transfer of unbalanced power flows remains the inherent driving force behind cascading failures. This paper proposes a high-risk links identification method for cascading failures based on power flow transfer similarity. First, a fault propagation model for the CPPS is constructed to simulate the power flow redistribution and optimization scheduling in the cascading failures. Then, it is revealed that there is a similarity in power flow transfer from faults triggered to cascading fault propagation and system restoration, and direct and indirect power flow transfer similarity calculation methods are proposed to quantify the risk of triggering cascading failures from source faults and the dangerous consequences of power flow transfer from secondary faults, thus achieving comprehensive identification of high-risk segments in cascading failures. Finally, the IEEE 118-bus CPPS and a provincial CPPS are taken as examples for simulation analysis. The simulation results demonstrate that the proposed method can accurately identify high-risk segments in the origin and development process of cascading failures. In the source fault stage, high-risk combinations of faults are more likely to induce cascading failures and lead to major blackouts. In the secondary fault stage, protecting high-risk transmission lines can effectively reduce the scale and losses of cascading failures.

     

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