符杨, 张语涵, 田书欣, 李振坤, 苏向敬, 刘舒. 基于混合量测的新能源电力系统动态频率预测方法[J]. 中国电机工程学报, 2024, 44(5): 1823-1835. DOI: 10.13334/j.0258-8013.pcsee.222723
引用本文: 符杨, 张语涵, 田书欣, 李振坤, 苏向敬, 刘舒. 基于混合量测的新能源电力系统动态频率预测方法[J]. 中国电机工程学报, 2024, 44(5): 1823-1835. DOI: 10.13334/j.0258-8013.pcsee.222723
FU Yang, ZHANG Yuhan, TIAN Shuxin, LI Zhenkun, SU Xiangjing, LIU Shu. Dynamic Frequency Prediction Based on Mixed Measurement for New Energy Power System[J]. Proceedings of the CSEE, 2024, 44(5): 1823-1835. DOI: 10.13334/j.0258-8013.pcsee.222723
Citation: FU Yang, ZHANG Yuhan, TIAN Shuxin, LI Zhenkun, SU Xiangjing, LIU Shu. Dynamic Frequency Prediction Based on Mixed Measurement for New Energy Power System[J]. Proceedings of the CSEE, 2024, 44(5): 1823-1835. DOI: 10.13334/j.0258-8013.pcsee.222723

基于混合量测的新能源电力系统动态频率预测方法

Dynamic Frequency Prediction Based on Mixed Measurement for New Energy Power System

  • 摘要: 高渗透率新能源波动下系统动态频率预测是实现受端网络频率安全态势感知的基础。该文提出一种基于混合量测和物理状态方程联合驱动的新能源电力系统双向树状长短期记忆网络(combined equation-of-state-driven and data-driven bi-directional tree-struct long short term memory,CEOSD-BITREE-LSTM)动态频率预测方法。首先,引入双层多头注意力图神经网络,提出考虑同步相量测量单元(synchronous phasor measurement unit,PMU)和数据采集与监视控制系统装置(supervisory control and data acquisition,SCADA)量测差异性和时序同步性的混合量测融合策略;其次,依据PMU密集采样特性,建立计及源网荷物理联系的线性时变状态方程,刻画物理-数据空间的频率特征交互关系;然后,考虑新能源出力、负荷波动等不确定因素,结合以PMU并行搜索调频资源形成的拓扑结构,构建CEOSD- BITREE-LSTM动态频率预测模型,实现系统频率态势的高精度预测。最后,以改进新英格兰10机39节点、三区互联系统为算例,验证该文所提方法的可行性和有效性。

     

    Abstract: The prediction of system dynamic frequency under the fluctuation of new energy with high permeability is the basis for security situation awareness of receiver network frequency. In this paper, a dynamic frequency prediction method is proposed for new energy power systems based on combined equation-of-state-driven and data-driven bi-directional tree-struct long and short-term memory (CEOSD-BITREE-LSTM) with hybrid measurement and equation of state. First, considering the measurement difference and timing synchronicity of PMU and SCADA, a hybrid measurement fusion strategy is proposed by double-layer and multi-head attention graph neural network. Second, according to the dense sampling characteristics of PMU, a linear time-varying state equation is established, which takes into account the physical connection of the source network and load, and describes the frequency characteristic interaction relationship in physics-data space. Then, considering the uncertain factors such as new energy output and load fluctuation, combined with the topology structure formed by the PMU parallel search of frequency modulation resources, the CEOSD-BITREE-LSTM dynamic frequency prediction model is constructed to achieve the high-precision prediction of system frequency. Finally, an improved New England 10-machine 39-node system and tri-zone interconnection system are taken as an example to verify the feasibility and effectiveness of the method.

     

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