边晓旭, 谢强. 基于地震动聚类的变电站设备易损性分析[J]. 中国电机工程学报, 2021, 41(8): 2671-2681. DOI: 10.13334/j.0258-8013.pcsee.201169
引用本文: 边晓旭, 谢强. 基于地震动聚类的变电站设备易损性分析[J]. 中国电机工程学报, 2021, 41(8): 2671-2681. DOI: 10.13334/j.0258-8013.pcsee.201169
BIAN Xiaoxu, XIE Qiang. Fragility Analysis of Substation Equipment Based on Ground Motion Clustering[J]. Proceedings of the CSEE, 2021, 41(8): 2671-2681. DOI: 10.13334/j.0258-8013.pcsee.201169
Citation: BIAN Xiaoxu, XIE Qiang. Fragility Analysis of Substation Equipment Based on Ground Motion Clustering[J]. Proceedings of the CSEE, 2021, 41(8): 2671-2681. DOI: 10.13334/j.0258-8013.pcsee.201169

基于地震动聚类的变电站设备易损性分析

Fragility Analysis of Substation Equipment Based on Ground Motion Clustering

  • 摘要: 变电站设备地震易损性分析中需要计算大量地震动输入下的结构响应,且对于不同地震动常采用同一条易损性曲线。文中提出基于地震动聚类的易损性分析方法,可在减少地震动样本输入的同时保证结果的准确性;并且可将地震动分类,得到各类地震动的易损性曲线。首先通过主成分分析得到综合多个地震动参数的主成分指标;将主成分指标作为聚类指标,通过k-means聚类算法,对地震动时程记录分类。基于聚类结果,选择了少量典型地震动代替全部地震动用来计算某1100kV变压器套管的易损性曲线;之后,分别计算每一类地震动的易损性曲线并对比分析。结果表明:基于聚类结果选取的少量典型地震动样本对于全部样本具有较好的代表性;采用该方法输入少量典型样本,便可得到比较准确的易损性曲线;各类地震动的易损性曲线差异较大,当已确定地震动的归类,采用对应该类地震动的易损性曲线评估变电站设备的失效概率更准确。

     

    Abstract: In the seismic fragility analysis of substation equipment, it is necessary to calculate the structural responses under the inputs of a large number of ground motions, and a same fragility curve is often used for different ground motions. In this paper, a fragility analysis method based on ground motions clustering was proposed to reduce the inputs of ground motion samples and to ensure the accuracy of the results. And the ground motions were classified, the fragility curves of multiple ground motions were obtained. Firstly, the principal component indicators combining multiple ground motion parameters were obtained by principal component analysis. The principal component indicators were used as the clustering indicators to classify the time history records of ground motions through k-means clustering algorithm. Based on the clustering results, a small number of typical ground motions were selected instead of all ground motions to calculate the fragility curve of a 1100kV transformer bushing. After that, the fragility curves of each type of ground motions were calculated and compared. The results show that the small number of typical ground motion samples selected based on clustering results can represent all samples well. Using this method, a small number of typical samples can be input to get a relatively accurate fragility curve. In addition, the fragility curves of various kinds of ground motions differ greatly. When the type of ground motion has been determined, it is more accurate to use the fragility curve corresponding to the type of ground motion to assess the failure probability of substation equipment.

     

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