电力市场环境下大规模水电站群月度交易电量分解与校核方法
Decomposition and Checking Method for Large-scale Hydropower Plants Monthly Trading Energy in Electricity Market
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摘要: 针对电力市场环境下月度电量交易与发电调度衔接不够紧密导致水电站经常出现严重超发、少发和弃水等问题,提出大规模水电站群月度交易电量分解校核模型与求解方法。该模型根据来水大小分别采用汛期目标和枯期目标,汛期目标为当日的月累计发电量完成进度与系统计划进度偏差最大值最小,枯期目标为月末累计发电量与交易电量相对偏差最大值最小,求解思路是首先利用滚动预测的日尺度负荷,依次扣除不参与优化的火、风、光三类电源以及部分水电站计划出力后,剩余负荷作为优化计算的边界条件,然后以进度完成偏差大小为启发信息迭代优化月度交易电量分解到日尺度,并耦合水量平衡、负荷平衡、电量平衡、断面极限约束进行多维校核。以云南澜沧江、金沙江、红河以及伊洛瓦底江等干流梯级50多座水电站群为研究对象,结果表明提出的分解校核模型能够实现月度电量交易与发电调度无缝衔接,有效缓解大规模水电站群超发、少发和弃水等问题,对保障交易电量顺利执行以及电力系统安全稳定运行具有重要意义。Abstract: In view of the not connected enough between the monthly energy trading and generation dispatching in electricity market, hydropower plant often have the problems of over-generating energy, under-generating energy and seriously spilling water. Therefore, this paper presented a decomposition and checking model for large-scale hydropower plants monthly trading energy. Two objective functions were to minimize progress deviations of that day between the monthly power generation and planned power generation in the flood season and to minimize deviations between the total power generation and planned power generation in the dry season. The solution is that the daily load was predicted by rolling. The remaining load was calculated by deducting the thermal, wind, solar and parts of hydropower generation from the daily load. Then, the monthly trading energy was decomposed to daily with the heuristic information of the completion progress deviation. The constraint conditions of water balance, load balance, electricity balance and section limit were checked. The model was demonstrated using large-scale hydropower plants on Lancang River, Jinsha River, Honghe River and Yiluowadi River. The results show that proposed model can realize the effective correlation between monthly energy trading and generation dispatching. It effectively alleviates the problems of over-generating energy, under-generating energy and seriously spilling water of large-scale hydropower stations and ensure the safety of the power grid