徐岩, 张建浩. 计及故障不确定性的多阶段多目标电源扩展规划[J]. 太阳能学报, 2021, 42(12): 443-451. DOI: 10.19912/j.0254-0096.tynxb.2019-1475
引用本文: 徐岩, 张建浩. 计及故障不确定性的多阶段多目标电源扩展规划[J]. 太阳能学报, 2021, 42(12): 443-451. DOI: 10.19912/j.0254-0096.tynxb.2019-1475
Xu Yan, Zhang Jianhao. MULTI-STAGE MULTI-OBJECTIVE POWER EXPANSION PLANNING WITH FAULT UNCERTAINTY[J]. Acta Energiae Solaris Sinica, 2021, 42(12): 443-451. DOI: 10.19912/j.0254-0096.tynxb.2019-1475
Citation: Xu Yan, Zhang Jianhao. MULTI-STAGE MULTI-OBJECTIVE POWER EXPANSION PLANNING WITH FAULT UNCERTAINTY[J]. Acta Energiae Solaris Sinica, 2021, 42(12): 443-451. DOI: 10.19912/j.0254-0096.tynxb.2019-1475

计及故障不确定性的多阶段多目标电源扩展规划

MULTI-STAGE MULTI-OBJECTIVE POWER EXPANSION PLANNING WITH FAULT UNCERTAINTY

  • 摘要: 针对发电机组在运行过程中因出现随机故障,造成整个系统出现电力中断等重大损失的情况,提出一种计及故障不确定性的多阶段多目标电源扩展规划模型。外层优化待增装机组的类型和数量,内层优化全部机组的投资运行成本和失电损失成本双目标函数。通过故障概率矩阵、失负荷概率(LOLP)和期望失电量(EENS)等指标,将可能发生的机组故障类型具体化,并通过负荷聚类和忽略高阶故障项等方式降低求解难度。最后,结合IEEE-RTS系统进行仿真验证,使用状态枚举法和NSGA-Ⅱ算法对含多维故障状态的双目标函数进行优化。结果表明,该文所用模型和方法在降低失电量同时,能有效兼顾各机组的经济性成本,可为实际工程中的电源扩展规划提供备用容量和计划出力等方面的理论依据。

     

    Abstract: This paper presents a multi-stage multi-objective power expansion planning model with fault uncertainty,aiming at the situation that the generator set suffers from power interruption and other heavy losses due to random faults during operation. The outer layer optimizes the type and quantity of the added units,and the inner layer optimizes the dual objective function of operating cost and power loss cost for all units. By means of fault probability matrix,LOLP,EENS and other indicators,the possible fault types of units are materialized,and the difficulty of solving problems is reduced by load clustering and ignoring higher-order fault terms. Finally,the simulation verification is carried out with IEEE-RTS system,state enumeration method and the NSGA-Ⅱ algorithm is used for optimizing the dual objective function with multi-dimensional fault state. The results show that the model and method used in this paper can effectively take into account the economic cost of each unit while reducing power loss,and can provide theoretical basis for power expansion planning in practical projects in terms of spare capacity and planned output.

     

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