周齐, 王海云, 王维庆. 基于峰型辨识的风速概率分布建模[J]. 太阳能学报, 2021, 42(8): 355-360. DOI: 10.19912/j.0254-0096.tynxb.2019-0532
引用本文: 周齐, 王海云, 王维庆. 基于峰型辨识的风速概率分布建模[J]. 太阳能学报, 2021, 42(8): 355-360. DOI: 10.19912/j.0254-0096.tynxb.2019-0532
Zhou Qi, Wang Haiyun, Wang Weiqing. MODELING OF WIND SPEED PROBABILITY DISTRIBUTION BASED ON PEAK PATTERN IDENTIFICATION[J]. Acta Energiae Solaris Sinica, 2021, 42(8): 355-360. DOI: 10.19912/j.0254-0096.tynxb.2019-0532
Citation: Zhou Qi, Wang Haiyun, Wang Weiqing. MODELING OF WIND SPEED PROBABILITY DISTRIBUTION BASED ON PEAK PATTERN IDENTIFICATION[J]. Acta Energiae Solaris Sinica, 2021, 42(8): 355-360. DOI: 10.19912/j.0254-0096.tynxb.2019-0532

基于峰型辨识的风速概率分布建模

MODELING OF WIND SPEED PROBABILITY DISTRIBUTION BASED ON PEAK PATTERN IDENTIFICATION

  • 摘要: 针对风速分布峰型与拟合函数不匹配的问题,提出基于峰型辨识的风速概率分布模型,即:进行风速分布拟合前,通过峰型辨识选取与之匹配的拟合函数,进而估算风速分布的概率密度函数;在风功率密度计算上,提出利用混合双Weibull分布函数的参数估算风功率密度。算例结果表明:基于峰型辨识的风速概率分布模型对实测风速分布各类峰型辨识准确,且拟合效果良好;利用混合双Weibull分布函数的参数估算风功率密度方法的精度较高。

     

    Abstract: In order to solve the problem of the peak pattern of the wind speed distribution mismatching with the fitting function,a wind speed probability distribution model based on peak pattern identification is proposed. Before fitting the wind speed distribution,the fitting function is selected on the basis of peak pattern identification,and the probability density function of the wind speed distribution is estimated. Aad then,the wind power density is estimated by using the parameters of the mixed double Weibull distribution function.The calculation results show that the wind speed probability distribution model based on peak is pattern identification is accurate in identifying various peak pattern of measured wind speed distribution,and well matched with the measured wind speed distribution of various peak pattern. The calculation accuracy of wind power density estimation by using the parameters of mixed double Weibull distribution function is high.

     

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