许启慧, 顾光芹, 申彦波, 杜康云, 杨铭. 基于SMARTS模式计算河北省太阳总辐射的误差分析[J]. 太阳能学报, 2021, 42(5): 335-342. DOI: 10.19912/j.0254-0096.tynxb.2018-1421
引用本文: 许启慧, 顾光芹, 申彦波, 杜康云, 杨铭. 基于SMARTS模式计算河北省太阳总辐射的误差分析[J]. 太阳能学报, 2021, 42(5): 335-342. DOI: 10.19912/j.0254-0096.tynxb.2018-1421
Xu Qihui, Gu Guangqin, Shen Yanbo, Du Kangyun, Yang Ming. ERROR ANALYSIS OF CALCULATION FOR SOLAR RADIATION BASED ON SMARTS MODE IN HEBEI PROVINCE[J]. Acta Energiae Solaris Sinica, 2021, 42(5): 335-342. DOI: 10.19912/j.0254-0096.tynxb.2018-1421
Citation: Xu Qihui, Gu Guangqin, Shen Yanbo, Du Kangyun, Yang Ming. ERROR ANALYSIS OF CALCULATION FOR SOLAR RADIATION BASED ON SMARTS MODE IN HEBEI PROVINCE[J]. Acta Energiae Solaris Sinica, 2021, 42(5): 335-342. DOI: 10.19912/j.0254-0096.tynxb.2018-1421

基于SMARTS模式计算河北省太阳总辐射的误差分析

ERROR ANALYSIS OF CALCULATION FOR SOLAR RADIATION BASED ON SMARTS MODE IN HEBEI PROVINCE

  • 摘要: 分析河北省13个辐射站的实测小时辐照度特征,结果表明875 W/m2以上辐照度区间的辐照量占比越大,资源丰富程度越高。利用河北省13个辐射站的实测资料,对SMARTS模式计算得到的水平面太阳总辐射量进行对比检验,结果表明SMARTS模式计算值与实际观测值之间的绝对偏差在0~341.43 MJ/m2之间,相对误差在-6.66%~7.41%之间,其中夏半年模式计算值偏低,冬半年模式计算值偏高;模式计算值与实测值之间相对误差近似符合正态分布,正误差出现84次,负误差出现72次,±5%之间出现的频次最多,约占48.7%,相对误差的绝对值越大,出现的频次越低。

     

    Abstract: In this paper,the distribution characteristics of hourly irradiance are analyzed in 13 radiation stations of Hebei province,the result of which shows that the greater proportion of irradiance above 875 W/m2,the higher of the solar energy resource. The SMARTS mode was used to calculate clear-sky global radiation,and a calculation equation on solar energy resource was established based on the percentage of sunshine. Compared with observed data,the absolute deviation is 0-341.43 MJ/m2,and the relative error is ranges from-6.66% to 7.41%. The calculation values during summer years are low while which during winter years are high. The monthly relative error approximately conforms to the normal distribution,positive error occurs 84 times and the negative occurs 72 times,48.7%relative error for monthly global irradiation is between ±5%. The absolute value of relative error is greater,the frequency is lower.

     

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