玉奴斯·唐阿塔尔, 赵勇. 塔里木盆地夏季降水的年代际变化及其影响环流[J]. 沙漠与绿洲气象, 2023, 17(6): 96-101.
引用本文: 玉奴斯·唐阿塔尔, 赵勇. 塔里木盆地夏季降水的年代际变化及其影响环流[J]. 沙漠与绿洲气象, 2023, 17(6): 96-101.
Yunusi Tangataer, ZHAO Yong. Decadal Change in Summer Rainfall over the Tarim Basin and Associated with Atmospheric Circulation[J]. Desert and Oasis Meteorology, 2023, 17(6): 96-101.
Citation: Yunusi Tangataer, ZHAO Yong. Decadal Change in Summer Rainfall over the Tarim Basin and Associated with Atmospheric Circulation[J]. Desert and Oasis Meteorology, 2023, 17(6): 96-101.

塔里木盆地夏季降水的年代际变化及其影响环流

Decadal Change in Summer Rainfall over the Tarim Basin and Associated with Atmospheric Circulation

  • 摘要: 基于1961—2020年夏季塔里木盆地33站逐日降水数据和NCEP/NCAR大气环流再分析数据,分析了塔里木盆地夏季降水的年代际变化特征及影响环流。结果表明:塔里木盆地夏季降水在1986/1987年发生了由少到多的年代际突变,降水显著增加的区域集中在盆地的西部和北部,主要由降水日数的增加贡献。不同年代际背景下,塔里木盆地夏季降水的影响环流配置存在差异。1961—1986年,影响盆地夏季降水的中亚副热带西风急流位置显著南移,中亚上空的异常气旋位于40°N附近,水汽主要源于阿拉伯海;1987—2020年,中亚上空的异常气旋位置移至40°N以南,水汽主要源于孟加拉湾和西北太平洋。东大西洋—西俄罗斯大气遥相关型在塔里木盆地夏季降水的年代际变化中扮演了重要角色。

     

    Abstract: Based on the daily rainfall data at 33 meteorological stations and NCEP/NCAR analysis atmospheric circulation data during 1961-2020,the decadal change in summer rainfall over the Tarim Basin and associated with large-scale circulation was investigated.The results show that the summer rainfall has experienced a significant increasing trend since 1987,and more summer rainfall has occurred in the west and northern part of the basin,which is mainly contributed by the increasing rainfall days.Under the different background of decadal change in summer rainfall,the summer rainfall associated with large-scale circulation shows some differences.During 1961-1986,more summer rainfall over the Tarim Basin is related to the subtropical westerly jet moving southward,an anomalous cyclone occurring along the 40° N over Central Asia,and water vapor transporting from the Arabian Sea.During 1987-2020,the anomalous cyclone moved southward over Central Asia.The water vapor is mainly transported from the Bay of Bengal and the northwest Pacific,contributing to more summer rainfall over the west and northern part of the basin.The East Atlantic-West Russia(EA-WR)atmospheric teleconnection pattern plays an important role in modulating the decadal change in summer rainfall over the Tarim Basin during 1961-2020.

     

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