王诗超, 刘嘉畅, 刘展志, 李妮. 海上风电产业现状及未来发展分析[J]. 南方能源建设, 2023, 10(4): 103-112. DOI: 10.16516/j.gedi.issn2095-8676.2023.04.010
引用本文: 王诗超, 刘嘉畅, 刘展志, 李妮. 海上风电产业现状及未来发展分析[J]. 南方能源建设, 2023, 10(4): 103-112. DOI: 10.16516/j.gedi.issn2095-8676.2023.04.010
WANG Shichao, LIU Jiachang, LIU Zhanzhi, LI Ni. Analysis of Current Situation and Future Development of Offshore Wind Power Industry[J]. Southern Energy Construction, 2023, 10(4): 103-112. DOI: 10.16516/j.gedi.issn2095-8676.2023.04.010
Citation: WANG Shichao, LIU Jiachang, LIU Zhanzhi, LI Ni. Analysis of Current Situation and Future Development of Offshore Wind Power Industry[J]. Southern Energy Construction, 2023, 10(4): 103-112. DOI: 10.16516/j.gedi.issn2095-8676.2023.04.010

海上风电产业现状及未来发展分析

Analysis of Current Situation and Future Development of Offshore Wind Power Industry

  • 摘要:
      目的  在加快推动沿海能源清洁化转型、调整产业结构趋势下,海上风电由于其风资源丰富、利用小时数高、消纳便利等优点,将成为沿海省份电力能源安全、清洁、高效转型的重要支撑。
      方法  文章对海上风电产业现状与未来发展前景进行全面分析,预测了未来近海浅水区和深远海海风产业综合降本的趋势。
      结果  结果表明,广东海域“十四五”期间能否实现平价上网与年均综合降本速度相关;广东部分风资源条件较好的深远海项目至“十四五”末期能够实现平价上网,同时在规模效应下仍有进一步降本空间。
      结论  我国海上风电产业链逐步完善,但仍有许多关键部件、核心技术依赖进口,需要不断开展国产化研究,实现产业成本的有效降低。

     

    Abstract:
      Introduction  Under the trend of accelerating the clean transformation of coastal energy and adjusting the industrial structure, offshore wind power will become an important support for the safe, clean and efficient transformation of power energy in coastal provinces due to its rich wind resources, high number of utilization hours and convenient consumption.
      Method  In this paper, the current situation and future development prospect of offshore wind power industry were analyzed, and the comprehensive cost reduction trend of shallow-water and far-reaching deep-sea offshore wind industry was predicted.
      Result  The results show that whether the Guangdong sea area can realize connection to grid at a fair price during the 14th Five-Year Plan period is dependent on the average annual comprehensive cost reduction rate; Some far-reaching deep-sea projects in Guangdong can achieve connection to grid at a fair price by the end of the 14th Five Year Plan period, and there is still room for cost reduction under the scale effect.
      Conclusion  Offshore wind power industry chain of our country has been improved gradually, but there are still many key components and core technologies relying on imports, so it is necessary to carry out continuous localization research to effectively reduce the industrial costs.

     

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