梁栋, 刘啸宇, 曾林, 孙智卿, 王守相. 基于潮流引导神经网络的配电网贝叶斯状态估计[J]. 高电压技术, 2024, 50(11): 4864-4874. DOI: 10.13336/j.1003-6520.hve.20231189
引用本文: 梁栋, 刘啸宇, 曾林, 孙智卿, 王守相. 基于潮流引导神经网络的配电网贝叶斯状态估计[J]. 高电压技术, 2024, 50(11): 4864-4874. DOI: 10.13336/j.1003-6520.hve.20231189
LIANG Dong, LIU Xiaoyu, ZENG Lin, SUN Zhiqing, WANG Shouxiang. Bayesian State Estimation for Distribution Networks Based on Power Flow-informed Neural Networks[J]. High Voltage Engineering, 2024, 50(11): 4864-4874. DOI: 10.13336/j.1003-6520.hve.20231189
Citation: LIANG Dong, LIU Xiaoyu, ZENG Lin, SUN Zhiqing, WANG Shouxiang. Bayesian State Estimation for Distribution Networks Based on Power Flow-informed Neural Networks[J]. High Voltage Engineering, 2024, 50(11): 4864-4874. DOI: 10.13336/j.1003-6520.hve.20231189

基于潮流引导神经网络的配电网贝叶斯状态估计

Bayesian State Estimation for Distribution Networks Based on Power Flow-informed Neural Networks

  • 摘要: 针对量测不足条件下配电网状态估计方法精度较低的问题,提出了基于潮流引导神经网络的配电网贝叶斯状态估计方法。首先,基于各节点的历史数据学习注入有功、无功功率的2维高斯混合概率分布,据此进行蒙特卡洛抽样和潮流计算,以获取用于神经网络训练的丰富样本;其次,以最小化状态估计误差和潮流方程失配量为目标,建立了基于潮流引导神经网络的配电网贝叶斯状态估计模型,通过在损失函数中融入潮流物理损失惩罚项,获取满足电网运行约束的一致解;再次,采用BOHB(贝叶斯优化+Hyperband)方法对神经网络超参数进行优化,并提出了基于迁移学习的拓扑变化和分接头调整条件下的自适应方法;最后,实际数据和三相平衡/不平衡配电网的测试结果表明,所提方法较基于伪量测的状态估计方法和无潮流引导的贝叶斯估计方法估计精度更高,且在拓扑变化和分接头调整时具有较好的自适应性能。

     

    Abstract: Driven by the low accuracy problem of existing distribution network state estimation (SE) methods when measurements are limited, a Bayesian SE method is proposed for distribution networks based on a novel power flow-informed neural network (PFINN). Firstly, the two-dimensional Gaussian mixture probability distribution of real and reactive power injection is learned for each node using historical data; thereby, abundant samples can be obtained for neural network training by Monte Carlo sampling and power flow calculation. Then, with the goal of minimizing the SE error and power flow equation violation, a Bayesian SE model is established for distribution networks based on the PFINN. Physics loss penalty is introduced into the loss function to constrain the output to be consistent with system operating constraints. Furthermore, the BOHB method is adopted to optimize the hyperparameters of the neural network, while transfer learning is introduced to adapt to changes of network topologies and on-load tap changers. Finally, test results using field data and balanced/unbalanced distribution networks show that the proposed method has better estimation accuracy than the pseudo-measurement-based SE method and the Bayesian SE method without power flow informing. Meanwhile, the proposed method achieves good adaptation performance to topology and tap changes.

     

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