彭生江, 杨淑霞, 袁铁江. 面向风煤富集区域的风−氢−煤耦合系统演化发展系统动力学[J]. 高电压技术, 2023, 49(8): 3478-3486. DOI: 10.13336/j.1003-6520.hve.20230451
引用本文: 彭生江, 杨淑霞, 袁铁江. 面向风煤富集区域的风−氢−煤耦合系统演化发展系统动力学[J]. 高电压技术, 2023, 49(8): 3478-3486. DOI: 10.13336/j.1003-6520.hve.20230451
PENG Shengjiang, YANG Shuxia, YUAN Tiejiang. System Dynamics of the Evolutionary Development of Coupled Wind-hydrogen-coal System for Wind-coal Enriched Areas[J]. High Voltage Engineering, 2023, 49(8): 3478-3486. DOI: 10.13336/j.1003-6520.hve.20230451
Citation: PENG Shengjiang, YANG Shuxia, YUAN Tiejiang. System Dynamics of the Evolutionary Development of Coupled Wind-hydrogen-coal System for Wind-coal Enriched Areas[J]. High Voltage Engineering, 2023, 49(8): 3478-3486. DOI: 10.13336/j.1003-6520.hve.20230451

面向风煤富集区域的风−氢−煤耦合系统演化发展系统动力学

System Dynamics of the Evolutionary Development of Coupled Wind-hydrogen-coal System for Wind-coal Enriched Areas

  • 摘要: “碳中和”目标下,缓解新能源消纳问题、走出环境污染困境是风煤富集区域面临的主要挑战。该文以氢能为煤介,将风煤富集区域丰富的风能和煤炭资源在产业链上进行深度融合,形成风−氢−煤耦合系统;基于系统动力学,理清风−氢−煤耦合系统内部交互关系和反馈机制,建立风−氢−煤耦合系统演化发展系统动力学模型,并通过Vensim软件进行仿真模拟,重点分析风−煤耦合发展的减排效果及经济效益。结果表明:以绿氢为支点的风−氢−煤耦合系统在经济和技术上均具备一定的可行性,氢储能可减少碳排放量近136万t,经济效益100亿,发挥区域可再生、低成本的风电和富集煤基资源的优势,实现经济增长与碳排放解耦发展,助力风煤富集区域2030年如期实现“碳达峰”目标。

     

    Abstract: Under the goal of "carbon neutrality", alleviating the problem of new energy consumption and getting out of the environmental pollution dilemma are the main challenges faced by wind-coal enriched areas. This paper uses hydrogen energy as a coal intermediary to deeply integrate the rich wind and coal resources in wind-coal-rich regions in the industrial chain to form a wind-hydrogen-coal coupling system. Based on the system dynamics, the internal interaction and feedback mechanism of the wind-hydrogen-coal coupling system are clarified, a system dynamics model of the evolution and development of the wind-hydrogen-coal coupling system is established, and simulation is carried out by the Vensim software, moreover, the emission reduction effect and economic benefits of the wind-coal coupled development are emphatically analyzed. The results show that the wind-hydrogen-coal coupling system with green hydrogen as the fulcrum is economically and technically feasible, and the hydrogen storage can reduce carbon emissions by nearly 1.36 million tons with an economic benefit of 10 billion. The system can realize the development of economy growth and carbon emission decoupling by taking advantage of the renewable, low-cost wind power and the rich coal-based resources in the region, and help the wind-coal enriched areas achieve the goal of "carbon peak" by 2030 as scheduled.

     

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