刘俊磊, 刘新苗, 卢洵, 张东辉, 徐芸霞, 邢月. 高比例新能源系统供需平衡分析方法和对策[J]. 高电压技术, 2023, 49(7): 2711-2724. DOI: 10.13336/j.1003-6520.hve.20230246
引用本文: 刘俊磊, 刘新苗, 卢洵, 张东辉, 徐芸霞, 邢月. 高比例新能源系统供需平衡分析方法和对策[J]. 高电压技术, 2023, 49(7): 2711-2724. DOI: 10.13336/j.1003-6520.hve.20230246
LIU Junlei, LIU Xinmiao, LU Xun, ZHANG Donghui, XU Yunxia, XING Yue. Analysis Methods and Countermeasures of Supply and Demand Balance of High Proportion of New Energy System[J]. High Voltage Engineering, 2023, 49(7): 2711-2724. DOI: 10.13336/j.1003-6520.hve.20230246
Citation: LIU Junlei, LIU Xinmiao, LU Xun, ZHANG Donghui, XU Yunxia, XING Yue. Analysis Methods and Countermeasures of Supply and Demand Balance of High Proportion of New Energy System[J]. High Voltage Engineering, 2023, 49(7): 2711-2724. DOI: 10.13336/j.1003-6520.hve.20230246

高比例新能源系统供需平衡分析方法和对策

Analysis Methods and Countermeasures of Supply and Demand Balance of High Proportion of New Energy System

  • 摘要: 我国正在建设高比例新能源系统,系统电源结构、运行方式和系统稳定特征将发生根本性改变,其中供需平衡问题将成为系统面临的首要问题。因此,针对高比例新能源系统供需平衡问题,首先从一次能源供应、灵活性资源和现有电网适应性3个方面总结面临的主要问题和风险;其次对高比例新能源系统的供需平衡主要分析方法进行调研综述,总结比较各主要方法应用于高比例新能源系统供需平衡分析的优缺点,给出各方法适用范围和应用建议;最后从灵活性资源供给、新型电网建设、新能源出力和负荷预测、新型调度体系及电力市场机制建立等方面提出高比例新能源系统供需平衡主要对策。

     

    Abstract: China is building a high proportion of new energy system, therefore, the power supply structure, operation mode and system stability characteristics of the system will be fundamentally changed, and the balance between supply and demand will become the primary problem facing the system. This paper focuses on the supply and demand balance of high proportion of new energy systems. Firstly, the main problems and risks faced from three aspects, namely, primary energy supply, flexible resources, and the adaptability of the existing power grid, are summarized. Secondly, the main analysis methods of supply and demand balance of high proportion new energy system are surveyed and summarized, the advantages and disadvantages of each main method applied to the supply and demand balance analysis of high proportion new energy system are summarize and compared, and the applicable scope and application suggestions of each method are given. Finally, the main countermeasures for the supply and demand balance of high proportion new energy system are proposed from the aspects of flexible resource supply, new power grid construction, new energy output and load forecasting, and the establishment of new dispatching system and power market mechanism.

     

/

返回文章
返回