马志侠, 张林鍹, 邱朝洁, 王卓萍, 刘冠辰, 王馨. 基于CEEMD-SSA-LSTM的园区综合能源系统两阶段优化调度[J]. 高电压技术, 2023, 49(4): 1430-1440. DOI: 10.13336/j.1003-6520.hve.20221303
引用本文: 马志侠, 张林鍹, 邱朝洁, 王卓萍, 刘冠辰, 王馨. 基于CEEMD-SSA-LSTM的园区综合能源系统两阶段优化调度[J]. 高电压技术, 2023, 49(4): 1430-1440. DOI: 10.13336/j.1003-6520.hve.20221303
MA Zhixia, ZHANG Linxuan, QIU Chaojie, WANG Zhuoping, LIU Guanchen, WANG Xin. Two-stage Optimal Scheduling of the Park Integrated Energy System Based on CEEMD-SSA-LSTM[J]. High Voltage Engineering, 2023, 49(4): 1430-1440. DOI: 10.13336/j.1003-6520.hve.20221303
Citation: MA Zhixia, ZHANG Linxuan, QIU Chaojie, WANG Zhuoping, LIU Guanchen, WANG Xin. Two-stage Optimal Scheduling of the Park Integrated Energy System Based on CEEMD-SSA-LSTM[J]. High Voltage Engineering, 2023, 49(4): 1430-1440. DOI: 10.13336/j.1003-6520.hve.20221303

基于CEEMD-SSA-LSTM的园区综合能源系统两阶段优化调度

Two-stage Optimal Scheduling of the Park Integrated Energy System Based on CEEMD-SSA-LSTM

  • 摘要: 为提升综合能源系统中风电等清洁能源的利用率、减少碳排放,提出一种基于互补集合经验模态分解、麻雀搜索算法、长短期记忆网络的新能源两阶段出力预测的综合能源系统优化调度模型。首先,对历史数据进行互补集合经验模态分解,构建基于麻雀搜索算法优化的长短期记忆网络预测模型;其次,用此预测模型对风电、光伏功率分别进行日前、日内的两阶段功率预测;最后,以包含碳惩罚成本、弃风惩罚成本等因素的日最小运行成本为优化目标,构建基于风电、光伏出力预测结果的综合能源系统日前、日内两阶段调度模型,并通过CPLEX求解制定调度计划。以某园区为例进行仿真分析,结果表明,此两阶段模型使系统购能成本下降9.40%、碳排放惩罚成本减少14.05%,日运行总成本减少12.53%,有效提升了综合能源系统的经济和环保性能。

     

    Abstract: In order to improve the utilization rate of clean energy such as wind power and reduce carbon emissions in integrated energy system, this paper proposes an integrated energy system optimization scheduling model based on the two-stage output prediction of new energy, complementary ensemble empirical mode decomposition, sparrow search algorithm and long short-term memory networks. Firstly, the empirical mode decomposition of complementary sets is performed on historical data, and along-term short-term memory network prediction model based on sparrow search algorithm optimization is constructed. Secondly, this prediction model is used to predict the power of wind power and photovoltaic in two stages of day-ahead and intra-day, respectively. Finally, taking the minimum daily operating cost including carbon penalty cost and curtailment penalty cost as the optimization goal, the IES two-stage scheduling model based on the forecast results of wind power and photovoltaic output is constructed, and the scheduling plan is formulated by CPLEX. Moreover, a park is taken as an example, and the results show that this two-stage scheduling model reduces the energy purchase cost of the system by 9.40%, the cost of carbon emission penalty by 14.05%, and the total daily operating cost by about 12.53%, which effectively improves the economic and environmental performance of the integrated energy system.

     

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