杨帆, 王维庆, 何山, 赵海岭, 程静. 基于多场景运行模拟的风–储–车容量随机规划[J]. 高电压技术, 2023, 49(3): 1161-1171. DOI: 10.13336/j.1003-6520.hve.20220863
引用本文: 杨帆, 王维庆, 何山, 赵海岭, 程静. 基于多场景运行模拟的风–储–车容量随机规划[J]. 高电压技术, 2023, 49(3): 1161-1171. DOI: 10.13336/j.1003-6520.hve.20220863
YANG Fan, WANG Weiqing, HE Shan, ZHAO Hailing, CHENG Jing. Stochastic Planning of Wind-storage-vehicle Capacity Based on Multi-scenario Operation Simulation[J]. High Voltage Engineering, 2023, 49(3): 1161-1171. DOI: 10.13336/j.1003-6520.hve.20220863
Citation: YANG Fan, WANG Weiqing, HE Shan, ZHAO Hailing, CHENG Jing. Stochastic Planning of Wind-storage-vehicle Capacity Based on Multi-scenario Operation Simulation[J]. High Voltage Engineering, 2023, 49(3): 1161-1171. DOI: 10.13336/j.1003-6520.hve.20220863

基于多场景运行模拟的风–储–车容量随机规划

Stochastic Planning of Wind-storage-vehicle Capacity Based on Multi-scenario Operation Simulation

  • 摘要: 为提高风电参与能量/调频市场的积极性与灵活性,提出考虑源侧共享储能和荷侧电动汽车(electric vehicle,EV)联合风电集群参与并网的多场景随机规划方法。针对风电出力不确定性,建立预测误差持续性概率模型,结合拉丁超立方分层采样技术和轮盘赌法,控制蒙特卡洛抽样生成大量具有真实风电特征的场景。然后,刻画EV电池运行域,进而评估EV集群的可调节功率和容量,在此基础上,提出一种SOC自适应并入方法以显著降低零散控制复杂度,并建立成本引导下基于利润一致性的共享储能–EV集群间功率分配机制。最后,按照所提协同运行模拟策略,求解多场景下基于运行模拟的共享储能–EV集群容量随机规划模型。算例结果表明:EV集群SOC自适应并入法能够快速有效使集群内单体SOC趋于一体化,可高效参与源荷互动;考虑误差持续性随机规划模型能够有效模拟真实风电特征,并获得具有较好鲁棒性的容量配置,验证了所提方法有效性。

     

    Abstract: In order to improve the enthusiasm and flexibility of wind power to participate in the energy/frequency modulation market, a multi-scenario capacity stochastic planning method considering the source-side shared energy storage and the grid connection of electric vehicle combined with wind power clusters is proposed. In accordance with the uncertainty of wind power output, a prediction error persistence probability model is established. Combined the Latin hypercube stratified sampling technology and roulette method, Monte Carlo sampling is controlled to generate a large number of scenes with real wind power characteristics. Then, the operating domain of EV batteries is described, and then the adjustable power and capacity of EV clusters are evaluated. On this basis, an SOC adaptive integration method is proposed to significantly reduce the complexity of scattered control, and a cost-oriented shared energy storage-EV cluster power allocation mechanism based on profit consistency is established. Finally, according to the proposed cooperative operation simulation scenario, the capacity stochastic planning model of shared energy storage and EV cluster based on operation simulation under multiple scenarios is solved. The example results show that the adaptive integration method of EV cluster SOC can be adopted to quickly and effectively integrate a single SOC in the cluster, and can efficiently participate in the source-load interaction. The stochastic programming model considering error persistence can effectively simulate real wind power characteristics and obtain robust capacity allocation, which verifies the effectiveness of the proposed method.

     

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