袁婧, 周承科, 周文俊, 廖雁群, 韦亦龙, 刘海康. 基于时间延迟理论的高压电缆巡检周期优化[J]. 高电压技术, 2021, 47(5): 1640-1648. DOI: 10.13336/j.1003-6520.hve.20200528010
引用本文: 袁婧, 周承科, 周文俊, 廖雁群, 韦亦龙, 刘海康. 基于时间延迟理论的高压电缆巡检周期优化[J]. 高电压技术, 2021, 47(5): 1640-1648. DOI: 10.13336/j.1003-6520.hve.20200528010
YUAN Jing, ZHOU Chengke, ZHOU Wenjun, LIAO Yanqun, WEI Yilong, LIU Haikang. Maintenance Scheduling for HV Cable Based on the Delay-time Concept[J]. High Voltage Engineering, 2021, 47(5): 1640-1648. DOI: 10.13336/j.1003-6520.hve.20200528010
Citation: YUAN Jing, ZHOU Chengke, ZHOU Wenjun, LIAO Yanqun, WEI Yilong, LIU Haikang. Maintenance Scheduling for HV Cable Based on the Delay-time Concept[J]. High Voltage Engineering, 2021, 47(5): 1640-1648. DOI: 10.13336/j.1003-6520.hve.20200528010

基于时间延迟理论的高压电缆巡检周期优化

Maintenance Scheduling for HV Cable Based on the Delay-time Concept

  • 摘要: 为了经济高效开展高压电缆的巡检消缺工作,提出了基于时间延迟理论与经济效益分析的高压电缆巡检周期优化方法。首先基于时间延迟模型模拟电缆缺陷发展为故障的过程,将电缆故障发展视为由缺陷出现与缺陷发展为故障两个随机事件组成;然后根据历史故障时间与巡检周期,建立电缆故障发展的数学计算模型,并考虑电缆故障的时间与空间特性,将电缆系统按照运行年限与巡检目标进行分类,建立不同运行年限内线路各部件的故障数期望值与巡检周期的数学关系;之后以故障损失与巡检费用最低为目标,计算电缆线路各部件的优化巡检周期;最后针对南方电网公司近10年投运的高压电缆,采用该方法理论计算得到优化巡检方案。理论上优化后的高压电缆故障损失与日常巡检的总费用相较于优化前可降低40%。所述方法可有效提高经济效益,为高压电缆巡检周期制定与巡检工作开展提供参考。

     

    Abstract: In order to carry out high-voltage cable inspection and maintenance economically and efficiently, an optimization method for high-voltage cable inspection cycle based on time delay theory and economic benefit analysis is proposed. Firstly, based on the delay-time concept, the progress of cable failure was regarded as a two-stage process, namely a stochastic process of occurrence and development of defects. Secondly, a mathematical model of the development of cable failures was established according to the service duration of a cable and its historical periodicity of inspection. The time and space characteristics of cable failures were taken into account, and the mathematical model of the expected number of failures of each cable components with the periodicity of inspections was set up, where cable components within different service ages were considered individually. Then, the maintenance activities were optimally scheduled by setting the objective functions as the minimal maintenance cost. Finally, the optimal approach was applied theoretically to thousands of cable circuits of China Southern Power Grid that were put into operation within 10 years. As can be seen from the case study in the paper, the economic expenditure could be reduced by 40% theoretically, compared with the total cost before optimization. It is shown that the total cost of cable failure and daily maintenance can be reduced effectively, and the optimal approach proposed in the paper can be used a guide for actual maintenance and test scheduling.

     

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