基于AHP-BCO-GRA的多场景风火氢储三层容量优化配置方法

韩晓娟; 杨小烟; 李昊宇; 郭思琪

doi:doi:10.19912/j.0254-0096.tynxb.2024-1261

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基于AHP-BCO-GRA的多场景风火氢储三层容量优化配置方法

更新时间：2025-12-10

- 基于AHP-BCO-GRA的多场景风火氢储三层容量优化配置方法
- Issue 11, Pages: 509-520(2025)
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- DOI：doi:10.19912/j.0254-0096.tynxb.2024-1261
  CLC： K91
- Published Online：04 December 2025，
  
  Published：04 December 2025
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韩晓娟, 杨小烟, 李昊宇, et al. 基于AHP-BCO-GRA的多场景风火氢储三层容量优化配置方法[J]. 2025, (11): 509-520.
DOI：

韩晓娟, 杨小烟, 李昊宇, et al. 基于AHP-BCO-GRA的多场景风火氢储三层容量优化配置方法[J]. 2025, (11): 509-520. DOI： doi:10.19912/j.0254-0096.tynxb.2024-1261.

摘要

针对高比例新能源并网导致电网波动和调峰能力不足等问题

提出基于层次分析（AHP）-边境牧羊犬搜索算法（BCO）-灰色关联度分析法（GRA）的多场景风火氢储多能互补系统三层容量优化配置方法。采用改进完全自适应噪声集合经验模态分解（ICEEMDAN）对风电输出功率进行分解

自适应调整磷酸铁锂电池、碱性电解槽和质子交换膜电解槽之间的容量划分;综合考虑火电机组的经济性、环保性和可靠性

利用AHP确定火电机组最优容量;以多能互补系统成本最低为目标

建立基于BCO的储能系统最优容量配置模型。从电-氢耦合系统安全角度出发

利用GRA验证电-氢耦合系统容量配置结果的合理性。通过中国某电站实际运行数据验证了该文方法的有效性

仿真结果表明

由该文方法得到的10 min并网波动率最低15.58%

辅助火电机组深度调峰深度由30.00%下降至24.99%。

Abstract

This paper proposes a three-layer capacity optimization configuration method for multi scenario wind-thermal-hydrogen-storage multi energy complementary systems based on analytic hierarchy process （AHP）-border collie optimization （BCO）-grey relationship analysis （GRA） to address the issues of grid fluctuations and insufficient peak shaving capacity caused by a high proportion of new energy grid integration. The improved complementary ensemble empirical mode decomposition with adaptive noise （ICEEMDAN） technique is utilized to decompose wind power output and optimize the adaptive capacity distribution among lithium iron phosphate batteries

alkaline electrolyzers

and proton exchange membrane electrolyzers. Taking into account the economic

environmental and reliability of thermal power units

the optimal capacity of thermal power units is determined using AHP for smoothing wind power fluctuations and deep peak shaving scenarios; An optimal capacity configuration model for energy storage systems is established using BCO with the goal of minimizing the cost of multi-energy complementary systems. From the perspective of safety in the electric hydrogen coupling system

GRA is used to verify the rationality of the capacity configuration results of the electric hydrogen coupling system. The effectiveness of this method is verified through actual operating data from a power station in China. The simulation results show that the grid connected fluctuation rate of 10 minutes obtained by the method proposed in this paper is the lowest at 15.58%

and the deep peak shaving depth of the auxiliary thermal power unit decreases from 30% to 24.99%.

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