Hybrid Model-data-driven Scheduling for Integrated Energy System Based on Carbon Emission Equivalent Reconstruction

WANG Jidong; TANG Haoyu; LIU Jianxin

doi:10.7500/AEPS20251119001

English Version Journal Login

您当前的位置：

首页 >

文章列表页 >

Hybrid Model-data-driven Scheduling for Integrated Energy System Based on Carbon Emission Equivalent Reconstruction

Basic Research | 更新时间：2026-10-14

- Hybrid Model-data-driven Scheduling for Integrated Energy System Based on Carbon Emission Equivalent Reconstruction
- Automation of Electric Power Systems Vol. 50, Pages: 46-60(2026)
- 作者机构：
  
  1.智能配用电装备与系统全国重点实验室（天津大学），天津市 300072
  2.智能电网教育部重点实验室（天津大学），天津市 300072
- 作者简介：
- 基金信息：
  
  National Key R&D Program of China(2022YFB4200703)
- DOI：10.7500/AEPS20251119001
  CLC：
- Received：19 November 2025，
  
  Revised：2026-04-14，
  
  Online First：17 August 2026，
  
  Published：25 November 2026
- 稿件说明：
移动端阅览
王继东,唐浩宇,刘建新.基于碳排放等效重构的综合能源系统模型-数据混合驱动调度[J/OL].电力系统自动化, http://dx.doi.org/10.7500/AEPS20251119001.

WANG Jidong,TANG Haoyu,LIU Jianxin.Hybrid Model-data-driven Scheduling for Integrated Energy System Based on Carbon Emission Equivalent Reconstruction[J/OL].Automation of Electric Power Systems, http://dx.doi.org/10.7500/AEPS20251119001.
王继东,唐浩宇,刘建新.基于碳排放等效重构的综合能源系统模型-数据混合驱动调度[J/OL].电力系统自动化, http://dx.doi.org/10.7500/AEPS20251119001. DOI：

WANG Jidong,TANG Haoyu,LIU Jianxin.Hybrid Model-data-driven Scheduling for Integrated Energy System Based on Carbon Emission Equivalent Reconstruction[J/OL].Automation of Electric Power Systems, http://dx.doi.org/10.7500/AEPS20251119001. DOI：

摘要

针对综合能源系统日内调度中储能设备的时序耦合问题，以及无法直接衡量碳-绿证联动交易成本的难题，提出基于模型-数据混合驱动和碳排放等效重构的优化调度方法。首先

计及碳-绿证联动交易，以碳排放强度为桥梁，将日前碳排放成本进行等效重构，实现碳排放成本的日内量化。然后，提出模型-数据混合驱动调度方法：针对简单变量，采用模型驱动进行优化；针对储能等涉及强时序耦合的变量，则基于历史数据离线训练最优荷电状态经验库。在日内调度中结合日内数据，采用

范数和结构相似性指数评估其与历史数据的相似性，利用局部加权核回归动态生成荷电状态参考轨迹，从而实现时序解耦。最后，提出碳价系数自适应更新机制，以保障所提方法的工程实用性。仿真结果表明，所提方法实现了碳-绿证联动交易成本在日内短时间尺度的有效量化，并提升了日内调度的准确性与灵活性。

Abstract

To address the temporal coupling issue of energy storage devices in the intraday scheduling of integrated energy systems

as well as the challenge that carbon-green certificate linked transaction costs cannot be directly measured

an optimal scheduling method based on hybrid model-data-driven and equivalent reconstruction of carbon emission is proposed. First

considering carbon-green certificate linked transactions

the day-ahead carbon emission cost is equivalently reconstructed using carbon emission intensity as a bridge

so as to realize the intraday quantification of carbon emission cost. Then

a hybrid model-data-driven scheduling method is developed. Model-driven optimization is adopted for simple variables. And for variables with strong temporal coupling such as energy storage

an empirical library of optimal state of charge is trained offline based on historical data. In intraday dispatch

combined with intraday data

the Frobenius norm and structural similarity index are used to evaluate the similarity between current and historical data

and locally weighted kernel regression is applied to dynamically generate the reference trajectory of the state of charge

thereby achieving temporal decoupling. Finally

an adaptive updating mechanism of the carbon price coefficient is put forward to guarantee the engineering practicability of the proposed method. Simulation results demonstrate that the proposed method can effectively quantify carbon-green certificate linked transaction costs on the short intraday time scale and improve the accuracy and flexibility of intraday scheduling.

关键词

Keywords

references

Wang D ， Zhao D Z ， Chen F ， et al . Research on energy trading mechanism based on individual level carbon quota ［J］. Sustainability ， 2024 ， 16 （ 13 ）： 5810 .

Zhang Y L ， Kang Y D . Research on the evolution and endogenous mechanism of global hydrogen trade dependence network ［J］. Sustainable Energy Technologies and Assessments ， 2024 ， 70 ： 103959 .

Gao H J ， Cai W H ， He S J ， et al . Stackelberg game based energy sharing for zero-carbon community considering reward and punishment of carbon emission ［J］. Energy ， 2023 ， 277 ： 127629 .

Yang Y ， Chen F F . Research on energy-saving coupling correlation of new energy buildings based on carbon emission effect ［J］. Sustainable Energy Technologies and Assessments ， 2023 ， 56 ： 103043 .

骆钊，罗蒙顺，沈鑫，等 . 基于碳捕集-电转气的矿区综合能源系统协同优化调度［J］. 电力系统自动化， 2024 ， 48 （ 3 ）： 22 - 30 .

Luo Zhao ， Luo Mengshun ， Shen Xin ， et al . Collaborative optimal scheduling of coal mine integrated energy system based on carbon capture and power to gas ［J］. Automation of Electric Power Systems ， 2024 ， 48 （ 3 ）： 22 - 30 .

赵正晖，王夏楠，齐步洋，等 . 基于主从博弈的新型电力系统惯量需求优化调度策略［J］. 电力系统自动化， 2025 ， 49 （ 7 ）： 179 - 188 .

Zhao Zhenghui ， Wang Xianan ， Qi Buyang ， et al . Optimal scheduling strategy for inertial demand of new power system based on Stackelberg game ［J］. Automation of Electric Power Systems ， 2025 ， 49 （ 7 ）： 179 - 188 .

Jiang Q ， Jia H J ， Mu Y F ， et al . Bilateral planning and operation for integrated energy service provider and prosumers - A Nash bargaining-based method ［J］. Applied Energy ， 2024 ， 368 ： 123506 .

高志海，桑丙玉，孙鑫，等 . 考虑全局-局部风险协调控制的多区域电力系统日前-日内两阶段优化调度［J］. 电网技术， 2025 ， 49 （ 8 ）： 3094 - 3103 .

Gao Zhihai ， Sang Bingyu ， Sun Xin ， et al . Optimal dispatching of multi-region power system in day-ahead and intra-day stages considering global-regional power supply risk coordinated control ［J］. Power System Technology ， 2025 ， 49 （ 8 ）： 3094 - 3103 .

邹宇航，曾艾东，郝思鹏，等 . 阶梯式碳交易机制下综合能源系统多时间尺度优化调度［J］. 电网技术， 2023 ， 47 （ 6 ）： 2185 - 2195 .

Zou Yuhang ， Zeng Aidong ， Hao Sipeng ， et al . Multi-time-scale optimal dispatch of integrated energy systems under stepped carbon trading mechanism ［J］. Power System Technology ， 2023 ， 47 （ 6 ）： 2185 - 2195 .

张笑演，熊厚博，王楚通，等 . 基于最优出力区间和碳交易的园区综合能源系统灵活经济调度［J］. 电力系统自动化， 2022 ， 46 （ 16 ）： 72 - 83 .

Zhang Xiaoyan ， Xiong Houbo ， Wang Chutong ， et al . Flexible economic dispatching of park-level integrated energy system based on optimal power output interval and carbon trading ［J］. Automation of Electric Power Systems ， 2022 ， 46 （ 16 ）： 72 - 83 .

Cheng Y H ， Zhang N ， Wang Y ， et al . Modeling carbon emission flow in multiple energy systems ［J］. IEEE Transactions on Smart Grid ， 2019 ， 10 （ 4 ）： 3562 - 3574 .

Gao C Z ， Lu H ， Chen M Z ， et al . A low-carbon optimization of integrated energy system dispatch under multi-system coupling of electricity-heat-gas-hydrogen based on stepwise carbon trading ［J］. International Journal of Hydrogen Energy ， 2025 ， 97 ： 362 - 376 .

赵振宇，任旭 . 考虑动态能价及碳证交易的综合能源系统零碳优化［J］. 电力建设， 2024 ， 45 （ 8 ）： 36 - 50 .

Zhao Zhenyu ， Ren Xu . Zero-carbon optimization of integrated energy system considering dynamic energy prices and carbon certificate trading ［J］. Electric Power Construction ， 2024 ， 45 （ 8 ）： 36 - 50 .

崔杨，沈卓，王铮，等 . 考虑绿证-碳排等价交互机制的区域综合能源系统绿色调度［J］. 中国电机工程学报， 2023 ， 43 （ 12 ）： 4508 - 4516 .

Cui Yang ， Shen Zhuo ， Wang Zheng ， et al . Green dispatch of regional integrated energy system considering green certificate-carbon emission equivalent interaction mechanism ［J］. Proceedings of the CSEE ， 2023 ， 43 （ 12 ）： 4508 - 4516 .

岳子宜，刘华志，李永刚 . 基于多阶段双重博弈的多园区随机场景低碳分布式调度优化［J］. 中国电机工程学报， 2024 ， 44 （ 22 ）： 8860 - 8874 .

Yue Ziyi ， Liu Huazhi ， Li Yonggang . Low-carbon distributed scheduling optimization for multi-park stochastic situations based on a multi-stage dual game ［J］. Proceedings of the CSEE ， 2024 ， 44 （ 22 ）： 8860 - 8874 .

朱瑛，郭健伟，周亦洲，等 . 考虑碳-绿证市场耦合的多虚拟电厂电-碳P2P交易模型［J］. 电力自动化设备， 2025 ， 45 （ 1 ）： 51 - 58 .

Zhu Ying ， Guo Jianwei ， Zhou Yizhou ， et al . Electricity-carbon P2P trading model for multiple virtual power plants considering carbon-green certificate market coupling ［J］. Electric Power Automation Equipment ， 2025 ， 45 （ 1 ）： 51 - 58 .

卢佳富，梁宁，徐慧慧，等 . 动态碳-绿证交易交互机制下多综合能源系统协调优化调度［J］. 电力系统自动化， 2025 ， 49 （ 9 ）： 52 - 60 .

Lu Jiafu ， Liang Ning ， Xu Huihui ， et al . Coordinated optimal dispatch of multiple integrated energy systems under dynamic carbon-green certificate trading interaction mechanism ［J］. Automation of Electric Power Systems ， 2025 ， 49 （ 9 ）： 52 - 60 .

Zhang G ， Niu Y Y ， Xie T ， et al . Multi-level distributed demand response study for a multi-park integrated energy system ［J］. Energy Reports ， 2023 ， 9 ： 2676 - 2689 .

Zeng A D ， Hao S P ， Ning J ， et al . Research on real-time optimized operation and dispatching strategy for integrated energy system based on error correction ［J］. Energies ， 2020 ， 13 （ 11 ）： 2908 .

Lee S ， Prabawa P ， Choi D H . Joint peak power and carbon emission shaving in active distribution systems using carbon emission flow-based deep reinforcement learning ［J］. Applied Energy ， 2025 ， 379 ： 124944 .

Wang Y D ， Hu J J ， Liu N . Energy management in integrated energy system using energy-carbon integrated pricing method ［J］. IEEE Transactions on Sustainable Energy ， 2023 ， 14 （ 4 ）： 1992 - 2005 .

余洋，吴千，霍宇航，等 . 计及自适应阶梯碳势-碳价与供需双响应基于主从博弈的综合能源系统低碳经济调度［J］. 电网技术， 2024 ， 48 （ 7 ）： 2702 - 2714 .

Yu Yang ， Wu Qian ， Huo Yuhang ， et al . Low-carbon economic dispatch for integrated energy system based on Stackelberg game considering adaptive stepped carbon potential-carbon price and dual response of supply and demand ［J］. Power System Technology ， 2024 ， 48 （ 7 ）： 2702 - 2714 .

Sampat M P ， Wang Z ， Gupta S ， et al . Complex wavelet structural similarity： a new image similarity index ［J］. IEEE Transactions on Image Processing ， 2009 ， 18 （ 11 ）： 2385 - 2401 .

Chen X ， Kong D H ， He X ， et al . A novel quantum mixed kernel regression model for prediction of oxidation mass gain in Ni-based superalloys ［J］. Materials Letters ， 2026 ， 412 ： 140424 .

Guo Z ， Wei W ， Bai J ， et al . Long-term operation of isolated microgrids with renewables and hybrid seasonal-battery storage ［J］. Applied Energy ， 2023 ， 349 ： 121628 .

Views

下载量

CSCD

Alert me when the article has been cited

提交

Tools

Publicity Resources

Coordinated Optimization Method for Computing Power and Electric Power in Data Centers Considering Sequential Flexibility of Tasks

Two-stage Low-carbon Economic Dispatch of Gas-hydrogen-blended Integrated Energy System Based on Extreme Scenario Method

Coordinated Scheduling Model of Electric-Thermal Energy Storage for Cross-scheduling-cycle Accommodation of Curtailed Electricity

Coordinated Supervision Mechanism for Electric Energy Market and Reserve Market to Support Emergency Supply Guarantee Requirements

Data-driven Distributionally Robust Optimization and Operation Method for Active Distribution Networks Based on Kolmogorov-Arnold Networks

Related Author

PANG Aokang

SHAO Zhenguo

CHEN Changming

CHEN Feixiong

CHENG Guoyang

HU Junjie

WU Jun

LIU Xuetao

Related Institution

College of Electrical Engineering and Automation, Fuzhou University

Key Laboratory of Energy Digitalization (Fuzhou University)

State Key Laboratory of Alternate Electrical Power System with Renewable Energy Sources (North China Electric Power University)

School of Electrical Engineering, Dalian University of Technology

Institute of Economics and Technology of State Grid Liaoning Electric Power Co., Ltd.

AI问答

⁰