
1.同济大学 建筑与城市规划学院,上海 200092
2.国网上海市电力公司,上海 200122
Received:01 July 2025,
Revised:2025-09-21,
Published Online:25 October 2025,
Published:25 October 2025
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黄子硕,窦真兰,陈佳盈.工业-民用耦合能源系统不确定运行条件适应能力研究[J].综合智慧能源,2025,47(10):69-76.
HUANG Zishuo,DOU Zhenlan,CHEN Jiaying.Adaptability of industrial-civil coupled energy systems under uncertain operating conditions[J].BLASTING,2025,47(10):69-76.
黄子硕,窦真兰,陈佳盈.工业-民用耦合能源系统不确定运行条件适应能力研究[J].综合智慧能源,2025,47(10):69-76. DOI: 10.3969/j.issn.2097-0706.2025.10.008.
HUANG Zishuo,DOU Zhenlan,CHEN Jiaying.Adaptability of industrial-civil coupled energy systems under uncertain operating conditions[J].BLASTING,2025,47(10):69-76. DOI: 10.3969/j.issn.2097-0706.2025.10.008.
综合利用工业余热及能源副产物为周边建筑供能,是能源梯级综合利用的重要手段。但工业生产计划和建筑用能相对独立,分别由不同的因素主导,在常规源荷不确定性之外又引入了新的不确定因素,系统设计决策的边界条件更为复杂。以上海某工业园区工业-民用耦合能源系统为例,设定了逐年气象、入住率及能源价格等典型不确定运行条件,选取4种典型的系统配置方案,量化综合供能系统对不确定运行条件的适应性。计算结果表明,配置总装机容量10%
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20%的燃料电池冷热电联供设备,可以明显提升系统的适应能力,多变场景下运行时的经济性优于全电热泵系统。
The comprehensive utilization of industrial waste heat and energy by-products to supply energy for surrounding buildings is an important means of integrated cascade utilization of energy. However, industrial production schedules and building energy consumption are relatively independent, each dominated by different factors. This introduces new uncertainties beyond conventional source-load variations, making the boundary conditions for system design decisions even more complex. Taking an industrial-civil coupled energy system in an industrial park in Shanghai as a case study, typical uncertain operating conditions—including year-by-year meteorological variations, occupancy rates, and energy prices—were defined. Four typical system configuration schemes were selected to quantify the adaptability of the integrated energy supply system to these uncertainties. The calculation results showed that configuring fuel cell combined cooling, heating, and power equipment at 10%—20% of the total installed capacity could significantly enhance system adaptability, and its economic performance under variable scenarios was superior to that of all-electric heat pump systems.
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