Analysis and forecast for load characteristic of distribution network in Yinchuan area

XUE Shaohua

doi:10.3969/j.issn.1672-3643.2013.05.001

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Analysis and forecast for load characteristic of distribution network in Yinchuan area

更新时间：2025-09-24

- Analysis and forecast for load characteristic of distribution network in Yinchuan area
- Ningxia Electric Power Issue 5, (2013)
- 作者机构：
- 作者简介：
- 基金信息：
- DOI：10.3969/j.issn.1672-3643.2013.05.001
  CLC：
- Published Online：05 November 2020，
  
  Published：2013
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XUE Shaohua. Analysis and forecast for load characteristic of distribution network in Yinchuan area[J]. Ningxia electric power, 2013, (5).
DOI：

XUE Shaohua. Analysis and forecast for load characteristic of distribution network in Yinchuan area[J]. Ningxia electric power, 2013, (5). DOI： 10.3969/j.issn.1672-3643.2013.05.001.

摘要

针对银川城市建设快速发展的需求

在分析了银川配电网历史负荷特性的基础上

运用数学模型、借助专业软件

对银川地区“十二五”期间配电网负荷、电量进行了预测

并对未来电力市场发展方向做出判断。分析结果表明:“十二五”期间

银川地区电力负荷呈现快速发展趋势

峰谷差逐年增加

最大负荷出现在冬季的特征在较长一段时间内不会改变。

Abstract

Aiming at the evolutive demand of city building in Yinchuan

based on power grid histori?cal load characteristic

using mathmatical model speciality software

forecasts distribution networkload of‘No.12 five-year plan’in Yinchuan

and puts forward estimation for futurity power market de?velopment direction. The analysis result shows that in the period of‘No.12 five-year plan’the powerload of Yinchuan area take on speediness growing trend

the peak valley difference increase year afteryear

the characteristic of peak load appearing in winter does not change for a long time.

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Related Author

HAN Yiming

GONG Jianfeng

ZHENG Wei

ZHANG Shihao

ZHANG Bin

LIU Pinxi

HU Binhua

NIE Wanting

Related Institution

Ningdong Electric Power Supply Company,State Grid Ningxia Electric Power Co.,Ltd.,Lingwu Ningxia

Electric Power Research Institute,State Grid Ningxia Electric Power Co.Ltd

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