牛文娟, 徐 筝, 薛贵元, et al. Feasibility evaluation model of zero carbon transformation in industrial parks based on system dynamics[J]. 2025, 27(6).
DOI:
牛文娟, 徐 筝, 薛贵元, et al. Feasibility evaluation model of zero carbon transformation in industrial parks based on system dynamics[J]. 2025, 27(6). DOI: 10.3969/j.issn.1009-1831.2025.06.003.
Feasibility evaluation model of zero carbon transformation in industrial parks based on system dynamics
Feasibility assessment of zero carbon transformation in parks is an important basis for promoting the development of zero carbon parks. Considering that whether the park can achieve zero carbon transformation depends on the comprehensive effects of factors such as the park’s GDP
fossil energy consumption intensity
new energy power generation
and carbon reduction technology investment
a feasibility assessment model for zero-carbon transformation of industrial parks based on system dynamics is proposed. The model consists of four modules:fuel combustion and production process carbon emissions
sewage treatment carbon emissions
purchased power carbon emissions
and carbon sinks and CCUS technology carbon reduction. The simulation results show that the model can predict the specific time for the park to achieve zero carbon transformation under the influence of multiple factors
and provide guidance for the configuration of emission reduction strategies.
Analysis of energy consumption characteristics and consumption reduction paths of near-zero energy office buildings in areas with hot summer and cold winter