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Application of System Dynamics Numerical Model in Predicting Water Shortage in the Heihe River Basin
更新时间：2026-01-09

    • Application of System Dynamics Numerical Model in Predicting Water Shortage in the Heihe River Basin

    • “The latest research shows that system dynamics numerical models can accurately measure the impact of complex factors on regional water demand and water resource scarcity. The quantitative simulation results of water demand and water shortage degree in Zhangye Basin from 2024 to 2050 indicate that Plan P5 is the most in line with the principle of sustainable development and should become the future development direction.”
    • PEARL RIVER   Vol. 46, Issue 12, Pages: 11-20(2025)

    • DOI：10.3969/j.issn.1001-9235.2025.12.002    

      CLC： TV213.4

    • Received：27 July 2025，

      Revised：2025-09-13，

      Accepted：20 September 2025，

      Published Online：31 October 2025，

      Published：25 December 2025

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  • QIN Huanhuan,CHEN Yiping.Application of System Dynamics Numerical Model in Predicting Water Shortage in the Heihe River Basin[J].PEARL RIVER,2025,46(12):11-20. DOI： 10.3969/j.issn.1001-9235.2025.12.002.

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QIN Huanhuan
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QIN Huanhuan
DI Qimeng
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Related Institution

State Key Laboratory of Nuclear Resources and Environment, East China University of Technology
School of Water Resources and Environmental Engineering, East China University of Technology
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