TANG Mingrun, LI Ruoyang, CHENG Xiaoyu, et al. 基于博弈论-改进云模型的新能源电力系统适应性评估[J]. Power system protection and control, 2025, 45(7).
DOI:
TANG Mingrun, LI Ruoyang, CHENG Xiaoyu, et al. 基于博弈论-改进云模型的新能源电力系统适应性评估[J]. Power system protection and control, 2025, 45(7). DOI: 10.19783/j.cnki.pspc.241063.
Developing new energy power systems is essential for achieving the dual-carbon goal. Therefore
it is of great significance to evaluate the adaptability of new energy power systems in specific conditions. First
the influencing factors of adaptability in new energy power systems are analyzed. Based on the characteristics of the systems
an adaptability evaluation index system is established
comprising three primary indicators
i.e.
grid structure
economic efficiency
and energy structure
along with 15 secondary indicators. Second
a combination weighting method based on game theory is proposed
integrating three objective assignment methods: the entropy weight method
CRITIC method
and the coefficient of variation methods
to obtain the optimal combined weights. Third
an improved cloud model is proposed to overcome the randomness of the indicators. The cloud model is improved using the combined weights to evaluate the adaptability of new energy power systems. Finally
a case study is conducted on the distribution network in area A of China to verify the accuracy and validity of the proposed evaluation model. The findings provide reliable recommendations for identifying system vulnerability and improving the adaptability of new energy power systems.