An Uncertain Demand Response Resource Aggregation Scheduling Strategy Based on Integrated Semi-trapezoidal Clouds

GE Xiaolin; SHEN Jiani; XU Yisheng; QIAN Mengdi

doi:10.19725/j.cnki.1007-2322.2023.0430

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An Uncertain Demand Response Resource Aggregation Scheduling Strategy Based on Integrated Semi-trapezoidal Clouds

更新时间：2026-04-02

- An Uncertain Demand Response Resource Aggregation Scheduling Strategy Based on Integrated Semi-trapezoidal Clouds
- Vol. 43, Issue 2, Pages: 298-309(2026)
- 作者机构：
  
  1. 海上风电技术教育部工程中心(上海电力大学), 杨浦区,上海市,200090
  2. 上海电力大学电气工程学院,上海市杨浦区,200090
  3. 国网浙江省电力有限公司兰溪市供电公司, 浙江省兰溪市,321100
  4. 国网北京市电力有限公司电力科学研究院, 北京市丰台区,100000
- 作者简介：
- 基金信息：
- DOI：10.19725/j.cnki.1007-2322.2023.0430
  CLC： 2
- Published：2026
- 稿件说明：
移动端阅览
GE Xiaolin, SHEN Jiani, XU Yisheng, et al. An Uncertain Demand Response Resource Aggregation Scheduling Strategy Based on Integrated Semi-trapezoidal Clouds[J]. 2026, 43(2): 298-309.
DOI：

GE Xiaolin, SHEN Jiani, XU Yisheng, et al. An Uncertain Demand Response Resource Aggregation Scheduling Strategy Based on Integrated Semi-trapezoidal Clouds[J]. 2026, 43(2): 298-309. DOI： 10.19725/j.cnki.1007-2322.2023.0430.

摘要

需求响应(demand response，DR)作为一种激励机制，对于促进电力供需平衡意义重大。然而，需求响应的不确定性与多样性也导致实际与预期的需求负荷响应量存在较大偏差，为此提出一种基于综合半梯云模型的需求响应随机优化策略。首先，考虑到需求侧响应的实际参与程度与用户的意愿密切相关，建立logit-XGBoost用户意愿线性回归模型，剥离用户信息中与响应意愿相关性较低的行为信息，将用户参与响应的不确定意愿显性表达。随后，针对实际调度过程中无法获得的需求侧用户所有的信息，基于提取的用户意愿搭建综合半梯云模型，获得用户响应的数字特征，联合表征可削减、可中断、可平移三类需求响应用户收益与响应行为之间的不确定映射关系。接着，考虑需求侧资源分散性与多样性使得其可调度能力具有很大的局限，建立三类不确定需求侧资源的通用(virtual battery，VB)模型，量化需求响应资源出力，优化了需求侧调度模型的削峰填谷效果。最后，通过算例仿真验证该方法的有效性和可行性。

Abstract

As an incentive mechanism

demand response (DR) is of great importance to the promotion of the balance between power supply and demand. However

the uncertainty and diversity of DR also lead to large deviations between actual and expected DR response volumes. To this end

a stochastic optimization strategy for DR is proposed based on an integrated semi-trapezoidal cloud model. First

considering that the actual degree of participation in demand-side response is closely related to the user's willingness

a logit-XGBoost user willingness linear regression model is established to strip the behavioral information in the user's information that has a low correlation with the willingness to respond

and express the user's uncertain willingness to participate in the response explicitly. Subsequently

for all the information of demand-side users that cannot be obtained in the actual scheduling process

we build a comprehensive half-trapezoidal cloud model based on the extracted user willingness to obtain the numerical features of user responses

and jointly characterize the uncertain mapping relationship between the benefits and response behaviors of users of the three types of demand response: curtailable

interruptible

and pannable. Then

considering that the dispersion and diversity of demand-side resources make their dispatchability have great limitations

a generic virtual battery (VB) model of three types of uncertain demand-side resources is established to quantify the demand response resource output

and optimize the peak shaving and valley filling effects of the demand-side scheduling model. Finally

the effectiveness and feasibility of the method are verified by arithmetic simulation.

关键词

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references

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