
1. 约翰斯·霍普金斯大学
2. 全球能源互联网发展合作组织
3. 北京大学光华管理学院
Published:2025
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郑润祺, 王健, 黄涛. 基于投入产出模型的“双碳”目标下清洁能源转型综合影响分析[J]. 2025, 8(6): 774-781.
郑润祺, 王健, 黄涛. 基于投入产出模型的“双碳”目标下清洁能源转型综合影响分析[J]. 2025, 8(6): 774-781. DOI: 10.19705/j.cnki.issn2096-5125.20250445.
利用投入产出模型,分析了为实现“双碳”目标,使用清洁能源替代煤电所产生的综合影响,包括全社会产出、就业及碳排放等。设置了2种情景:①当煤电、风电和太阳能发电最终需求增加相同单位时,煤电对全社会产出、就业的拉动略高于风电、太阳能发电;②从满足社会用电需求出发,考虑不同发电类型的特点和投资成本,风电、太阳能发电对全社会产出、就业拉动作用均高于煤电。当发电量分别增加1 GWh,煤电、风电、太阳能发电分别创造就业岗位4.7个、10.2个和11.9个。该结论对加快清洁发展,实现碳达峰、碳中和目标提供了参考。
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