【目的】在我国“双碳”国家战略目标指引下,建设以绿电供能为主的氧化铝溶出工艺供能系统可促进零碳化转型,提升可再生能源利用效率以及降低系统运行成本。【方法】构建基于风光预测的绿电-熔盐协同混合系统为氧化铝溶出工艺供能,运用自回归移动平均模型(autoregressive moving average model
[Objective] Under the rigorous guidance of China's national strategic goals of “dual carbon”(carbon peaking and carbon neutrality)
the transformation of energy structures in heavy industries has become a critical priority. In particular
establishing an innovative energy supply system for the alumina digestion process that is predominantly powered by green electricity is essential. This transition is pivotal for promoting a comprehensive zero-carbon transformation
significantly enhancing the utilization efficiency of renewable energy resources
and effectively reducing the operational costs of the system. [Methods] To address these challenges
this study constructs a novel green electricity-molten salt synergistic hybrid system
supported by advanced wind and solar forecasting techniques
to supply reliable power for the alumina digestion process. Regarding the methodological framework
a sophisticated hybrid prediction model combining the autoregressive integrated moving average model(ARIMA) and a long short-term memory(LSTM) network is developed to achieve precise meteorological data forecasting. Furthermore
the non-dominated sorting genetic algorithm III(NSGA-III)
integrated with a fuzzy satisfaction function
is utilized to conduct a rigorous multi-objective optimization configuration study. This comprehensive simulation covers a continuous period of 1 week(168 h) and evaluates performance across 12 typical operating scenarios to ensure robustness. [Results] The comprehensive empirical results indicate that the prediction accuracy of the proposed model is exceptionally high
with the average coefficient of determination(R2) value for meteorological data exceeding 97.5%
thereby providing reliable data input for system control. The optimized fullequipment configuration demonstrates significant advantages in maintaining a cross-seasonal stable energy supply
achieving an optimal balance among economic viability
environmental impact
and overall energy efficiency. Specifically
the minimum weekly operating cost is recorded at 6.322 9 million yuan
the lowest carbon emission is reduced to 44.97 t
and the maximum effective green electricity rate reaches an impressive 99.67%. Additionally
the configuration of molten salt thermal energy storage equipment effectively smooths the inherent fluctuations of green electricity and drastically reduces reliance on external grid power purchases
resulting in an average green electricity supply proportion of 98.23%. The strong synergistic effect between wind turbine equipment and photovoltaic equipment successfully compensates for the temporal and intensity limitations of single energy sources
significantly improving both the effective green electricity rate and the stability of the system's energy supply. [Conclusion] The proposed green electricity-molten salt synergistic hybrid system successfully realizes a stable green power supply
providing robust theoretical support for the optimization of low-carbon
low-cost alumina digestion processes powered directly by green electricity.