WEN Wentao, YANG Zhenhua, QI Xiangmeng, et al. Online learning model of backpressure prediction for direct air-cooled unit under flexible peak regulation[J]. Thermal power generation, 2024, 53(2): 68-77.
DOI:
WEN Wentao, YANG Zhenhua, QI Xiangmeng, et al. Online learning model of backpressure prediction for direct air-cooled unit under flexible peak regulation[J]. Thermal power generation, 2024, 53(2): 68-77. DOI: 10.19666/j.rlfd.202309150.
Online learning model of backpressure prediction for direct air-cooled unit under flexible peak regulation
in order to adapt to the dynamic change of direct aircooled unit load and the interference of environmental factors
an online learning neural network method is proposed to predict the backpressure of direct air-cooled unit. Firstly
the historical data are cleaned and Spearman correlation analysis is used to determine the important features of low redundancy affecting backpressure. Then
the Hammerstein model is used to identify the model parameters online for the backpressure. At the same time
the backpressure prediction model of direct air-cooled unit is established by using long-short memory neural network and attention mechanism
and the model is updated by online learning. The experiments results show that
the model has an absolute percentage error(MAPE) of less than 9% in predicting backpressure at different time spans within the next 1 hour
and a MAPE of less than 1% in predicting backpressure within 30 seconds. Finally
the actual power plant system is used to verify that the model can run stably in practical applications. The results of this study provide an effective method for real-time prediction of the backpressure of direct air-cooled unit
which is of great significance for the operation and management of direct air-cooled unit with flexible peak regulation.