WEI Pengfei, FAN Xiaochao, SHI Ruijing, et al. Short-term photovoltaic power generation forecast based on improved sparrow search algorithm optimized support vector machine[J]. Thermal power generation, 2021, 50(12): 74-79.
DOI:
WEI Pengfei, FAN Xiaochao, SHI Ruijing, et al. Short-term photovoltaic power generation forecast based on improved sparrow search algorithm optimized support vector machine[J]. Thermal power generation, 2021, 50(12): 74-79. DOI: 10.19666/j.rlfd.202104127.
Short-term photovoltaic power generation forecast based on improved sparrow search algorithm optimized support vector machine
In order to improve the reliability and accuracy of photovoltaic power generation power prediction
a short-term photovoltaic power generation power prediction model based on improved sparrow search algorithm(t SSA) optimization support vector machine(SVM) was proposed. Firstly
the self-adaptive t-distribution was used to enhance the population diversity of the sparrow search algorithm
and then t SSA was used to optimize the penalty parameters and kernel function parameters in the SVM
the photovoltaic power generation power was predicted when the optimal penalty parameters and kernel function parameters were obtained. An analysis on the data of a photovoltaic power station in Australia within one year found that
the photovoltaic power in each season was significantly different. For this reason
the influence of external environmental parameters such as irradiance
humidity
temperature
wind speed and wind direction was fully considered
and the photovoltaic power generation power on a certain day in different seasons was predicted based on the t SSA-SVM model. The simulation results show that
the above model has high prediction accuracy
especially for the prediction of photovoltaic power generation in autumn and winter