A new integrated forcasting model for calorific value of coal has been established based on multi-linear regression and least square support vector machine(LS-SVM)
and steps for establishing the said model and the concrete algorithm being given.considering the relationship between the practical calorific value of fuel coal Qb
ad and the industrial analysis data(Wad
Ad
Vdaf)
the integrated model is composed of two parts
mamely the preliminary sub-model and the error correction sub-model.The process of modelling is as in the following:firstly
the sample sets to be constructed by using the ofviginal data
then
the preliminary forcasting is obtained by a multivariate linear regression algorithm
and finally the compensated error is obtained from correction sub-model based on LS-SVM
so the prediction value will be the output value of the preliminary forecasting sub-model plus the compensated error.The practical prediction results show the intgrated model can obviously improve the prediction precision compared to other algorithms
being less time-comsuming
and effectiveness of prediction being superior than other commonly used methods