FAILURE PROBABILITY ANALYSIS ON THERMAL POWER-GENERATING UNITS

LI Xiang

doi:10.19666/j.rlfd.2001.05.007

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FAILURE PROBABILITY ANALYSIS ON THERMAL POWER-GENERATING UNITS

更新时间：2025-09-28

- FAILURE PROBABILITY ANALYSIS ON THERMAL POWER-GENERATING UNITS
- Thermal Power Generation Issue 5, Pages: 20-21(2001)
- 作者机构：
  
  广安电厂,四川,广安,638550
- 作者简介：
- 基金信息：
- DOI：10.19666/j.rlfd.2001.05.007
  CLC： TB114
- Published：2001
- 稿件说明：
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LI Xiang. FAILURE PROBABILITY ANALYSIS ON THERMAL POWER-GENERATING UNITS[J]. Thermal power generation, 2001, (5): 20-21.
DOI：

LI Xiang. FAILURE PROBABILITY ANALYSIS ON THERMAL POWER-GENERATING UNITS[J]. Thermal power generation, 2001, (5): 20-21. DOI： 10.19666/j.rlfd.2001.05.007.

摘要

从概率论的角度对火电机组设备事故概率作了初步探讨

认为火电机组事故概率分配一般应按泊松公式分布

并在设定条件下推出设备概率系数

得出机组的事故概率分配。最后对一台国产30 0MW机组的事故作了概率分布

Abstract

From the viewpoint of probability theory

a preliminary approach of equipment failure probability on thermal power-generating units has been made. It is considered that the failure probability of said units is generally distributed in accordance with poisson formulae. Then

the equipment probability coefficient is deduced under given conditions

and the distribution of failure probability of said units is obtained. At last

the probability distribution of failures

which may occur on a homemade 300MW unit is given.

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