Jianzhou Feng, Zechun Hu. Multi-Stage Risk-Averse Planning Approach for Multi-Type ESSs Considering Markov Transition of Persistent Low Output Scenario[J]. CSEE Journal of Power and Energy Systems, 2025, 11(6): 2587-2597.
DOI:
Jianzhou Feng, Zechun Hu. Multi-Stage Risk-Averse Planning Approach for Multi-Type ESSs Considering Markov Transition of Persistent Low Output Scenario[J]. CSEE Journal of Power and Energy Systems, 2025, 11(6): 2587-2597.DOI: 10.17775/CSEEJPES.2025.01200.
Multi-Stage Risk-Averse Planning Approach for Multi-Type ESSs Considering Markov Transition of Persistent Low Output Scenario
摘要
Abstract
The rapid expansion of renewable energy
particularly wind and photovoltaic (PV) power generation
increases the vulnerability of power systems to persistent low output scenarios (PLOS)
which pose significant security risks. To address uncertainties in the timing
duration
and frequency of PLOS while considering operational non-anticipativity
this paper proposes a multi-stage energy storage planning model incorporating a Markov process. A nested conditional value at risk (CVaR) framework is employed to manage uncertainty. To efficiently solve the large-scale multi-stage mixed-integer stochastic problem
a modified stochastic dual dynamic integer programming (SDDiP) algorithm is proposed. In order to accelerate the convergence speed of the algorithm
techniques such as regularization
dynamic sampling
dynamic cut selection
and parallel computation are designed. Case studies on the IEEE 118-bus system validate the effectiveness of the proposed approach.
关键词
Keywords
references
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29. J. L. Durante, J. Nascimento, and W. B. Powell, “Risk Directed Importance Sampling in Stochastic Dual Dynamic Programming With Hidden Markov Models for Grid Level Energy Storage,” arXiv preprint arXiv: 2001.06026, 2020. [Online ] . Available: https://arxiv.org/abs/2001.06026.
30. J. D. Garcia, I. Leal, R. Chabar, and A. Street, “A Multicut Approach to Compute Upper Bounds for Risk-Averse SDDP,” arXiv preprint arXiv: 2307.13190, 2023. [Online ] . Available: https://arxiv.org/abs/2307.13190.
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