Pengfei Zhao, Weihao Hu, Di Cao, et al. Online Probabilistic Load Forecasts Considering Data Gaps[J]. CSEE Journal of Power and Energy Systems, 2026, 12(1): 557-562.
DOI:
Pengfei Zhao, Weihao Hu, Di Cao, et al. Online Probabilistic Load Forecasts Considering Data Gaps[J]. CSEE Journal of Power and Energy Systems, 2026, 12(1): 557-562. DOI: 10.17775/CSEEJPES.2024.06300.
Online Probabilistic Load Forecasts Considering Data Gaps
Existing load forecasting methods typically assume that recent load data are available for prediction. This is not in conformity with reality since there is a time gap between the flow date (when power is consumed) and when measurement values are obtained. To this end
this letter proposes an online learning-based probabilistic load forecasting method considering the impact of the data gap. Specifically
an adaptive ensemble backpropagation-enabled online quantile regression algorithm is developed to optimize the parameters of the attention network recursively using the newly obtained load observations. To further improve the reliability and sharpness of prediction intervals under significant data gaps
we introduce an online interval calibration technique. The proposed online learning method allows us to adaptively capture the dynamic changes in load patterns and alleviate the information lags caused by data gaps. Comparative tests utilizing real-world datasets reveal the superiority of the proposed method.
A hybrid FCW-EMD and KF-BA-SVM based model for short-term load forecasting
Short-term forecasting of individual residential load based on deep learning and K-means clustering
Very Short-Term Forecasting of Distributed PV Power Using GSTANN
Short-term load forecasting of regional distribution network based on generalized regression neural network optimized by grey wolf optimization algorithm
Error Correction Method of Ultra-Short-Term Prediction Based on Load Peak-Valley Characteristics for Wind Farm Cluster
Related Author
Qingzhen Liu
Yuanbin Shen
Lei Wu
Jie Li
Lirong Zhuang
Shaofang Wang
Fujia Han
Tianjiao Pu
Related Institution
Fuzhou University,,, CN
Clarkson University,,, US
Quanzhou Electric Power Supply Co., State Grid
Power Automation Department, China Electric Power Research Institute
Artificial Intelligence Application Department, China Electric Power Research Institute