Jingxuan Zhang, Xinyue Chang, Hongbin Sun, et al. Stochastic Planning Considering Uncertainties of Renewable Energy Seasonal Correlation and Sub-DR for Smart Distribution Network[J]. CSEE Journal of Power and Energy Systems, 2026, 12(3): 1252-1263.
DOI:
Jingxuan Zhang, Xinyue Chang, Hongbin Sun, et al. Stochastic Planning Considering Uncertainties of Renewable Energy Seasonal Correlation and Sub-DR for Smart Distribution Network[J]. CSEE Journal of Power and Energy Systems, 2026, 12(3): 1252-1263. DOI: 10.17775/CSEEJPES.2023.05630.
Stochastic Planning Considering Uncertainties of Renewable Energy Seasonal Correlation and Sub-DR for Smart Distribution Network
摘要
Abstract
At present
a high proportion of renewable energy is integrated into smart distribution networks. The power outputs of renewable energy
such as wind and photovoltaic energy
are featured by randomness and uncertainties. In addition
different types of loads have different demand response characteristics with significant uncertainty. These parameters pose great challenges to the safety and reliability of the smart distribution network in the planning stage. Therefore
a renewable energy seasonal correlation model is proposed to exploit the complementary seasonal characteristics between wind and photovoltaic power outputs
thereby reducing the uncertainty of renewable energy. Moreover
a sub-DR model considering the uncertainties of user willingness for different types of loads is modelled
and an industrial load demand response pricing mechanism considering the interaction between supply and demand is developed. Finally
a stochastic planning model
which incorporates system operation considerations
is established to achieve synergistic coordination among generation
load
and storage in the smart distribution network. The numerical examples show that the proposed method can effectively alleviate the randomness and uncertainties of renewable energy power output in the IEEE 33-bus system and IEEE 123-bus system and ensure the stable operation of the system.
关键词
Keywords
references
4. United States Department of Energy. ( 2003, Jul. ). “GRID 2030 ” a national vision for electricity's second 100 years . [Online ] . Available: https://www.energy.gov/oe/articles/grid-2030-national-vision-electricitys-second-100-years.