Hai Li, Qihuan Dong, Peng Wang, et al. Forecasting Multi-Timescale Demand Response Potential Using Characteristic Maps[J]. CSEE Journal of Power and Energy Systems, 2026, 12(1): 200-209.
DOI:
Hai Li, Qihuan Dong, Peng Wang, et al. Forecasting Multi-Timescale Demand Response Potential Using Characteristic Maps[J]. CSEE Journal of Power and Energy Systems, 2026, 12(1): 200-209. DOI: 10.17775/CSEEJPES.2023.00400.
Forecasting Multi-Timescale Demand Response Potential Using Characteristic Maps
With the increasing penetration of variable renewable energy
flexible resources are highly needed to hedge the growing uncertainty
and variability in the power system. Demand response has served as a cost-effective type of flexible resource in recent years. In order to balance the uncertainty of the system
it is crucial to assess how much flexibility demand response programs can provide. Thus
forecasting demand response potential is important for the operation of the bulk system. This paper proposes a modeling approach that can characterize the multi-timescale flexibility of demand response so that not only the power potential but also temporal-coupling characteristics can be considered. Furthermore
a day-ahead demand response potential forecasting method is proposed using deep convolutional generative adversarial networks. The proposed forecasting method is tested using data from 170 users in Pecan Street Dataport. The results show that the proposed method can forecast the multi-timescale flexibility of demand response with high accuracy.
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references
19. Electric Power Research Institute. ( 2016 ). Electric power system flexibility: challenges and opportunities . [Online ] . Available: https://www.naseo.org/Data/Sites/1/flexibility-white-paper.pdf
24. Pecan Street Dataport . [Online ] . Available: https://www.pecanstreet.org/