
1. 国网四川省电力公司电力科学研究院
2. 四川大学电气工程学院
Published:2025
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范松海, 卜祥航, 王浩鑫, et al. 融合特征时间模块的电力地质灾害普适性监测数据预测技术[J]. 2025, 48(5): 63-70.
范松海, 卜祥航, 王浩鑫, et al. 融合特征时间模块的电力地质灾害普适性监测数据预测技术[J]. 2025, 48(5): 63-70. DOI: 10.16527/j.issn.1003-6954.20250509.
准确预测多变量时间序列数据对于科学评估电力设施可能遭受的地质灾害风险至关重要。然而,现有的深度学习模型在处理多变量时间序列数据时往往过于关注时间信息,而忽视了特征之间的复杂依赖关系。为了解决这一问题,提出了一种融合了特征-时间块和平滑二次损失函数的多变量时间序列预测模型,专为处理普适性监测数据。特征-时间模块通过特征模块识别关键特征,并在时间模块中进行频域过滤,以揭示特征和时间信息的交互作用;平滑二次损失函数用于优化模型的预测性能,使其能够更好地处理数据中的噪声和异常值。在多个具有普适性特征的灾害监测数据集上的实验结果表明,所提模型在预测准确性和鲁棒性方面均优于现有的基于多层感知器的模型,特别是在处理具有复杂特征依赖关系和噪声数据时,能够显著提高预测性能。该模型的创新之处在于其能够同时捕捉特征和时间信息的复杂交互,并通过优化损失函数来增强模型的鲁棒性,为电力设施地质灾害预警及风险评估提供了一种新的有效工具。
Accurate prediction of multivariate time series (MTS) data is crucial for scientific assessment of possible geological disaster risks to power facilities. However
the existing deep learning models tend to focus too much on temporal information and ignore the complex dependencies between features when dealing with MTS data. To solve this problem
a model of feature-time block multi-layer perceptron(FTMLP) is proposed
which is designed for processing pervasive monitoring data and incorporates a feature-time module and a smoothed quadratic loss function. The feature-time module identifies key features through the feature module and performs frequency-domain filtering in time module to reveal the interaction between feature and time information. In addition
the smoothed quadratic loss function is used to optimize the predictive performance of the model
which makes it better to deal with noise and out-liers in the data. Experimental results on several disaster monitoring datasets with pervasive characteristics show that the FTMLP model outperforms the existing MLP-based models in terms of both prediction accuracy and robustness
especially when dealing with complex feature dependencies and noisy data
and can significantly improve the prediction performance. The proposed FTMLP model effectively improves the prediction accuracy of multivariate time series data in disaster monitoring by fusing the feature-time module and smoothing the quadratic loss function. The innovation of the model lies in its ability to capture the complex interactions of feature and time information simultaneously and enhance the robustness of the model by optimizing the loss function
which provides a new effective tool for early warning and risk assessment of geological disaster in power facilities.
Hu Jie,Shen Li,Albanie Samuel,Sun Gang,Wu Enhua.Squeeze-and-Excitation Networks[J].IEEE Transactions on Pattern Analysis and Machine Intelligence,2019.
Supervised Sequence Labelling with Recurrent Neural Networks[J].2012.
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