Meteorological Services in the New Power System: Status, Challenges, and Future Directions

DENG Liyuan; WANG Haohuai; WANG Lingzi; SHEN Haibo

doi:10.16516/j.ceec.2025-248

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Meteorological Services in the New Power System: Status, Challenges, and Future Directions

更新时间：2026-10-14

- Meteorological Services in the New Power System: Status, Challenges, and Future Directions
- Southern Energy Construction Vol. 13, Issue 3, Pages: 1-19(2026)
- 作者机构：
  
  中国南方电力调度控制中心,广东,广州,510663
- 作者简介：
- 基金信息：
- DOI：10.16516/j.ceec.2025-248
  CLC： TM7;P49
- Published：2026
- 稿件说明：
移动端阅览
邓力源, 王皓怀, 王凌梓, 等. 新型电力系统中气象服务的现状、挑战及未来发展方向[J]. 南方能源建设, 2026, 13(3): 1-19.

.
邓力源, 王皓怀, 王凌梓, 等. 新型电力系统中气象服务的现状、挑战及未来发展方向[J]. 南方能源建设, 2026, 13(3): 1-19. DOI： 10.16516/j.ceec.2025-248.

. DOI： 10.16516/j.ceec.2025-248.

摘要

目的

随着新型电力系统建设的不断深入，气象服务广泛渗透至源荷预测、运行调度、灾害预警、电力交易等电网运行的不同环节，亟待通过系统性梳理电力气象服务的应用现状与问题，明确其未来发展方向。

方法

文章通过文献综述与系统性分析，重点梳理电力气象监测、电力气象灾害预警、电力负荷预测与新能源功率预测等环节的应用现状及电力气象服务现存问题，结合前沿发展趋势对关键问题进行剖析，对未来电力气象服务进行展望。

结果

研究发现，随着新型电力系统的不断发展，电力气象服务呈现多元性的特征，并已成为提升电力系统安全、效率和智能化水平的关键支撑。然而，现阶段仍存在监测网络不完善、预报预警水平不足、数据不适配和电力市场服务模式单一等问题，制约了电力气象服务水平。

结论

未来电力气象服务应朝着更精细化、智能化、一体化的方向发展，通过电力和气象的深度融合应用，实现更精细化的气象监测和更精准的气象预报，提供更完善的能源保供服务，建立更健全的服务机制，为新型电力系统建设提供重要支撑。

Abstract

Objective

Driven by the goals of carbon peaking and carbon neutrality

the traditional power grid operation mode has undergone significant changes

gradually evolving into a new power system characterized by renewable energy as the main source

multi-energy complementarity

and coordinated interaction among generation

grid

load

and storage. In this context

the operation of the power grid is closely related to meteorological conditions. Meteorological services provide essential support for electric

ity demand and generation forecasting

operational dispatch

disaster early warning

and electricity market management. Therefore

it is urgent to systematically review the application status and challenges of power meteorological services and to clarify their future development directions.

Method

This study adopted literature review and systematic analysis approaches

focusing on the current applications of meteorological services in the power system

including meteorological monitoring

disaster early warning

load forecasting

and renewable energy power prediction. The existing problems of power meteorological services were summarized

and key issues were analyzed in light of frontier trends to provide prospects for future development.

Result

Research indicates that meteorological services have been increasingly integrated into multiple stages of the power system

including planning

operational dispatch

and disaster management

demonstrating diversified functionalities. These services have become critical for enhancing the reliability

efficiency

and intelligence of power operations. Nonetheless

challenges remain

such as incomplete monitoring networks

limited forecasting accuracy

data incompatibility

and restricted service models for electricity markets

which constrain overall performance.

Conclusion

This study proposes that future power meteorological services should focus on enhancing service capability and effectiveness

moving towards greater refinement

intelligence

and integration. Key priorities focus on advancing the deep integration of power systems and meteorology to refine meteorological monitoring

enhance forecasting accuracy

strengthen data interoperability

and improve energy supply assurance services. Establishing a more comprehensive service mechanism will provide critical support for the construction of the new power system.

关键词

Keywords

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