Application of Bayesian information criterion to sensitivity analysis of landslide factor

LI Xue-ping; TANG Hui-ming

doi:10.16285/j.rsm.2006.08.034

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Application of Bayesian information criterion to sensitivity analysis of landslide factor

更新时间：2026-06-25

- Application of Bayesian information criterion to sensitivity analysis of landslide factor
- Issue 8, Pages: 1393-1397(2006)
- 作者机构：
  
  1. 中国地质大学工程学院
  2. 中国地质大学工程学院,武汉,430074
- 作者简介：
- 基金信息：
- DOI：10.16285/j.rsm.2006.08.034
  CLC： TU413.62
- Published：2006
- 稿件说明：
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[1]李雪平,唐辉明.贝叶斯信息标准在滑坡因子敏感性分析中的应用[J].岩土力学,2006(08):1393-1397.

LI Xue-ping, TANG Hui-ming. Application of Bayesian information criterion to sensitivity analysis of landslide factor[J]. 2006, (8): 1393-1397.
[1]李雪平,唐辉明.贝叶斯信息标准在滑坡因子敏感性分析中的应用[J].岩土力学,2006(08):1393-1397. DOI： 10.16285/j.rsm.2006.08.034.

LI Xue-ping, TANG Hui-ming. Application of Bayesian information criterion to sensitivity analysis of landslide factor[J]. 2006, (8): 1393-1397. DOI： 10.16285/j.rsm.2006.08.034.

摘要

滑坡因子敏感性分析是滑坡预测和治理的重要前提。以巫山县新址西区作为试验区

运用滑坡影响因素与历史滑坡之间建立的Logistic回归模型

通过贝叶斯信息标准进行模型优劣程度的比较

以期得出本区滑坡因子的敏感程度。设计了逐个加入影响因子进行非嵌套模型的优劣程度对比的试验方法。试验区滑坡因子敏感程度计算结果排队依次为:岩性、高程、距有影响构造线距离、坡度、坡向、坡形。试验为区域斜坡稳定性评价提供了一种新的、可靠的方法。

Abstract

It is important to analyze sensitivity of landslide factor.The west area in new Wushan County was taken as an experimental area.Logistic model was set up for which independent variables are landform

physiognomy

lithological character and geological structure conditions and dependent variable is historical landslide condition.The sensitivity degree is expected according to Bayesian information criterion.The authors design test method which taken in factor one by one and compared with superior degree on not nested model.The results of sensitivity degree are lithological character

height

distance to effected structure line

gradient

slope direction

slope shape.The experiment provides a new and credible method for evaluating slope stability.

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Related Author

LI Xue-ping

TANG Hui-ming

DONG Hui

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YANG Guo-yue

FU He-lin

HOU Jun-min

GUO Chang-bao

Related Institution

College of Civil Engineering and Mechanics, Xiangtan University

School of Civil Engineering and Architecture, Central South University

Institute of Geomechanics, Chinese Academy of Geological Sciences

Key Laboratory of Neotectonic Movement and Geohazard, Ministry of Land and Resources

State Key Laboratory of Geological Hazard Prevention & Geological Environment Protection

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