Characteristics and Peak Forecast Study of CO<sub>2</sub> Emission in Nanchang

席细平; 晏恒; 王贺礼; 罗成龙; 艾仙斌; 谢运生; 石金明; 孙李媛

doi:10.16056/j.1005-7676.2019.01.001

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Characteristics and Peak Forecast Study of CO₂ Emission in Nanchang

更新时间：2026-01-19

- Characteristics and Peak Forecast Study of CO₂ Emission in Nanchang
- Issue 1, Pages: 1-5(2019)
- 作者机构：
  
  江西省科学院能源研究所
- 作者简介：
- 基金信息：
- DOI：10.16056/j.1005-7676.2019.01.001
  CLC： X701
- Published：2019
- 稿件说明：
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[1]席细平,晏恒,王贺礼,罗成龙,艾仙斌,谢运生,石金明,孙李媛.南昌市CO_2排放特征与峰值预测研究[J].能源研究与管理,2019(01):1-5.

席细平, 晏恒, 王贺礼, et al. Characteristics and Peak Forecast Study of CO₂ Emission in Nanchang[J]. 2019, (1): 1-5.
[1]席细平,晏恒,王贺礼,罗成龙,艾仙斌,谢运生,石金明,孙李媛.南昌市CO_2排放特征与峰值预测研究[J].能源研究与管理,2019(01):1-5. DOI： 10.16056/j.1005-7676.2019.01.001.

席细平, 晏恒, 王贺礼, et al. Characteristics and Peak Forecast Study of CO₂ Emission in Nanchang[J]. 2019, (1): 1-5. DOI： 10.16056/j.1005-7676.2019.01.001.

摘要

分析南昌市CO

排放特征

通过构建IPAT模型

对南昌市碳排放峰值进行预测。分析发现

煤炭消费是南昌市CO

排放的主要来源

钢铁和电力行业是工业领域CO

排放的最主要排放源

所占比重较为稳定。按照南昌市目前的发展趋势

预计2024年CO

排放将达到峰值。未来保持能源强度和CO

排放强度的不断下降

对南昌市低碳城市建设和尽快出现CO

排放峰值至关重要

调整能源结构、提高清洁能源比重、构建以低排放为特征的产业体系、实施低碳政策应成为南昌市未来的重点工作任务。

Abstract

This paper analyzed the CO

emission characteristics of Nanchang and forecasted its carbon dioxide emission peak by building an IPAT model. It can be found that coal consumption was the main source of CO

emissions in Nanchang. Steel and power industries were the main sources of CO

emissions in the industrial field of Nanchang

with a relatively stable proportion. According to the current development trend of Nanchang

emissions are expected to peak in 2024. Keeping energy intensity and CO

emission intensity declining will be crucial for both the construction of low-carbon city and the peak of CO

emissions as soon as possible in Nancha

ng. And adjusting the energy structure

increasing the proportion of clean energy

building an industrial system with low carbon emission and implementing low-carbon policies should be the key tasks of Nanchang in the future.

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Characteristics and Peak Forecast Study of CO2 Emission in Nanchang

DOI：10.16056/j.1005-7676.2019.01.001

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Characteristics and Peak Forecast Study of CO₂ Emission in Nanchang