Study on Low-carbon Development Based on the STIRPAT and Decoupling Model——Take Zhongshan as an Example

单丽丽; 林文享

doi:10.16056/j.1005-7676.2016.01.006

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Study on Low-carbon Development Based on the STIRPAT and Decoupling Model——Take Zhongshan as an Example

更新时间：2026-01-19

- Study on Low-carbon Development Based on the STIRPAT and Decoupling Model——Take Zhongshan as an Example
- Issue 1, Pages: 20-24(2016)
- 作者机构：
  
  深圳市深港产学研环保工程技术股份有限公司
- 作者简介：
- 基金信息：
- DOI：10.16056/j.1005-7676.2016.01.006
  CLC： F127;X22
- Published：2016
- 稿件说明：
移动端阅览
[1]单丽丽,林文享.基于STIRPAT和脱钩模型分析的低碳发展研究——以中山市为例[J].能源研究与管理,2016(01):20-24.

单丽丽, 林文享. Study on Low-carbon Development Based on the STIRPAT and Decoupling Model——Take Zhongshan as an Example[J]. 2016, (1): 20-24.
[1]单丽丽,林文享.基于STIRPAT和脱钩模型分析的低碳发展研究——以中山市为例[J].能源研究与管理,2016(01):20-24. DOI： 10.16056/j.1005-7676.2016.01.006.

单丽丽, 林文享. Study on Low-carbon Development Based on the STIRPAT and Decoupling Model——Take Zhongshan as an Example[J]. 2016, (1): 20-24. DOI： 10.16056/j.1005-7676.2016.01.006.

摘要

运用脱钩模型分析到中山市2003—2013年可持续发展状态整体较为乐观

并预计到2015年中山市可持续状态良好

然后运用STIRPAT模型对2002—2013年碳排放与人口、技术、经济、产业结构等影响因素关系研究得出

第二产业比重对中山市碳排放影响系数最大

而经济发展最终引起的碳排放量变化最大。中山市应做好中山市产业结构调整与生产技术提升等减碳工作

追求经济持续稳定增长。

Abstract

Base on the Decoupling model analysis

Zhonshan’s Sustainable development was analyzed not bad from 2003 to2013 and will be not bad too in the 2015. Then study on the effect of relationship about Number of population

Technology

Economics and Industrial structure base on the STIRPAT model from 2002 to 2013

Influence coefficient about the proportion of the second industry was analyzed maximum

while the economics has the greatest impact on the change of carbon dioxide emissions. In addition

the dropping of proportion of the second industry and the improving of the Technology is advantageous to cutting down Zhongshan’s carbon dioxide emissions.

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