LU Xiaojuan, ZHANG Yaohui, FAN Duojin, et al. Optimization of soft sensor modeling and scheduling strategies for comprehensive energy systems driven by multimodal data[J]. 2026, 30(7): 121-133,148.
DOI:
LU Xiaojuan, ZHANG Yaohui, FAN Duojin, et al. Optimization of soft sensor modeling and scheduling strategies for comprehensive energy systems driven by multimodal data[J]. 2026, 30(7): 121-133,148.DOI: 10.15938/j.emc.2026.07.013.
Optimization of soft sensor modeling and scheduling strategies for comprehensive energy systems driven by multimodal data
摘要
在综合能源系统调度过程中
软测量建模对新能源功率预测意义重大
但多模态、非线性和滞后性的数据特征致使传统软测量建模性能受限。鉴于此提出基于霜冰优化残差-双向长短期神经网络(rime optimization algorithm-residual network-bidirectional long short-term memory
GAF)双映射与双向长短期记忆神经网络(bidirectional long short-term memory
BiLSTM)分别提取空间和时间特征多模态融合。经仿真对比验证
所提模型光伏预测均方根误差比其他3种模型分别降低34.61%、43.73%、14.41%
风电预测较其他3种模型分别降低19.97%、20.99%、10.97%。在此基础上
构建综合能源系统的经济调度模型
引入光热电站热储能解耦“以热定电”模式
添加电储能提升系统调节能力。经实验对比验证
该方案较其他方案总成本分别下降26.64%和12.27%。
Abstract
In the scheduling process of integrated energy systems
soft sensor modeling is of great significance for new energy power prediction. However
data characteristics including multimodality
nonlinearity and time lag limit the performance of traditional soft sensor modeling. In view of this
a wind-solar power soft sensor modeling method based on the rime optimization algorithm-residual network-bidirectional long short-term memory network(RIME-ResNet-BiLSTM)was proposed. Key features were extracted by the maximum mutual information theory
and the K-means clustering algorithm was adopted to divide the dataset into four categories to improve the generalization ability of the model. The Gramian angular field(GAF)dual mapping and bidirectional long short-term memory(BiLSTM)were used to extract spatial and temporal features respectively for multimodal feature fusion. Simulation comparisons were carried out for verification. The root mean square error of photovoltaic power prediction of the proposed model was reduced by 34.61%
43.73% and 14.41% compared with the other three models
while the RMSE of wind power prediction was decreased by 19.97%
20.99% and 10.97% correspondingly. On this basis
an economic scheduling model for integrated energy systems was constructed. A thermal energy storage of concentrating solar power stations was introduced to decouple the 鈥減ower generation determined by heat load鈥?operation mode
and electric energy storage was configured to enhance the regulation capacity of the system. Experimental verifications show that the total operation cost of the proposed scheme is reduced by 26.64% and 12.27% relative to other comparison schemes.