In the scenario of joint power forecasting for multiple sites and multiple types of sources and loads
traditional time-series forecasting models are often difficult to efficiently extract spatiotemporal correlations and inherent relationships among different types of sources and loads
resulting in insufficient forecasting accuracy. To address this issue
this paper proposes an ultra-short-term source-load joint forecasting method that integrates an improved graph convolutional neural network (GCN) with a group cross-gating mechanism. First
an ultra-short-term joint power forecasting model based on the improved GCN is constructed to fully extract the spatiotemporal correlation features of source (wind
solar) and load (electricity
heat) power. Then
a group cross-gating mechanism is designed and incorporated into the improved GCN
thus the cross-modulation of information between different types of sources and loads is realized
effectively utilizing their inherent relationships. This significantly improves the accuracy of ultra-short-term joint power forecasting for multiple sites and multiple types of sources and loads. Finally
based on historical data of wind power
solar power
electric load
and heat load from a region in northern China
comparative experiments are conducted. The results verify the effectiveness and superiority of the proposed method in terms of prediction accuracy.