To address the issue of inaccurate prediction of radio interference in transmission lines under the influence of multiple environmental factors at high altitudes
this paper proposes a hybrid prediction model based on variational mode decomposition (VMD)
convolutional neural network (CNN)
bidirectional gated recurrent unit (BiGRU)
and attention mechanism. First
a long-term observation station was established at an altitude of 2 420 m to collect radio interference data together with surrounding environmental factors
and Pearson correlation analysis was employed to screen the relevant variables. Second
considering the nonlinear characteristics of radio interference data
VMD was applied to decompose the original signal into a series of relatively stable subsequences. Third
these subsequences were used as inputs to the combined CNN-BiGRU-ATT model. Meanwhile
to enhance the prediction performance
the whale optimization algorithm was utilized to optimize two hyperparameters of the BiGRU
yielding the optimal parameter configuration. Finally
the prediction results of each subsequence were superimposed and reconstructed to obtain the final radio interference prediction. The results indicate that the proposed method achieves root mean square error (RMSE)
mean absolute error (MAE)
and mean absolute percentage error (MAPE) of 2.134
1.125
and 0.594
respectively
in one-step prediction
and demonstrates superior accuracy in multi-step prediction compared with other models.