WAN Yixin, 1, SUN Xiaocong, et al. Carbon-green Certificate Mutual Conversion Mechanism and Market Benefit Analysis Based on Marginal Carbon Intensity[J]. 2025, 49(10): 4184-4193.
DOI:
WAN Yixin, 1, SUN Xiaocong, et al. Carbon-green Certificate Mutual Conversion Mechanism and Market Benefit Analysis Based on Marginal Carbon Intensity[J]. 2025, 49(10): 4184-4193. DOI: 10.13335/j.1000-3673.pst.2025.0158.
Carbon-green Certificate Mutual Conversion Mechanism and Market Benefit Analysis Based on Marginal Carbon Intensity
电力市场与碳市场、绿证市场等环境权益制度的有效协同,是推进我国电力系统低碳发展、践行“双碳”目标的有效手段。然而,我国环境权益产品种类较多,如绿证(tradable green certificate,TGC)以及碳市场的交易品种之一中国国家核证自愿减排量(China Certified Emission Reduction,CCER)均是针对可再生能源进行核算与发放的,可能存在重复激励问题,难以保障电力环境价值的唯一性,亟需探索碳-绿证市场产品的互认机制。现有的互认机制主要基于固定系数认兑,无法体现不同时刻新能源机组引起的减排成效差异,难以激励低碳资源在优化自身的出力,不利于全系统碳排放的降低。为此,该文提出了基于边际碳排放因子(marginal carbon intensity,MCI)的碳-绿证互认机制,将具有时变特征的新能源机组边际碳排放因子作为认兑系数,表征不同时段的碳减排效益,为风储、光储等资源提供激励引导。首先,建立了新能源机组的边际碳排放因子计算模型,并基于此设计了碳-绿证互认机制。其次,以社会福利最大为优化目标,构建了考虑碳-绿证互认的电-碳-绿证市场联合出清模型,并从碳排放、新能源消纳及社会福利三方面构建了市场效益评价指标。最后,结合算例开展了出清结果的效益分析,证明了所提碳-绿证互认机制的有效性。
Abstract
The effective coordination of the electricity market
the carbon market
the green certificate market
and other environmental rights systems is an effective means to promote the low-carbon development of China's power system and achieve the "dual carbon" goal. However
there are many types of environmentally friendly products in China. For example
the tradable green certificate (TGC) and China Certified Emission Reduction (CCER)
one of the products in carbon markets
are both calculated and issued for renewable energy
which may have duplication of incentives
and it is difficult to guarantee the uniqueness of the environmental value of electricity. Thus
there is an urgent need to explore a mutual conversion mechanism between these products. The existing mutual conversion mechanism is mainly based on a fixed coefficient
which cannot reflect the differences in emission reduction results caused by new energy units at different times
so it is difficult to encourage low-carbon resources to optimize their output
which is not conducive to the reduction of carbon emissions across the system. Therefore
this paper proposes a carbon-green certificate mutual conversion mechanism based on Marginal Carbon Intensity (MCI). The MCI of new energy units with time-varying characteristics are used as the recognition coefficient to characterize the carbon emission reduction benefits in different periods and provide incentives and guidance for wind storage
solar storage and other resources. First
this paper establishes a calculation model for the MCI of new energy units
and designs a carbon-green certificate mutual conversion mechanism. Secondly
with the optimization goal of maximizing social welfare
a joint clearing model of the electricity-carbon-green certificate market considering the mutual conversion of carbon-green certificates was constructed
and the market efficiency evaluation indicators were constructed from three aspects: carbon emissions
new energy consumption and social welfare. Finally
a benefit analysis example is carried out to prove the effectiveness of the proposed carbon-green certificate mutual conversion mechanism.