A Spatial-temporal Distribution Prediction Method for High Random Fault Risk of Transmission Lines Based on Fuzzy Correlation Pattern Identification for Imbalanced Elements
|更新时间:2026-02-28
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A Spatial-temporal Distribution Prediction Method for High Random Fault Risk of Transmission Lines Based on Fuzzy Correlation Pattern Identification for Imbalanced Elements
SUN Chenhao, XU Hao, YU Kun, et al. A Spatial-temporal Distribution Prediction Method for High Random Fault Risk of Transmission Lines Based on Fuzzy Correlation Pattern Identification for Imbalanced Elements[J]. 2026, 46(4): 1420-1430.
DOI:
SUN Chenhao, XU Hao, YU Kun, et al. A Spatial-temporal Distribution Prediction Method for High Random Fault Risk of Transmission Lines Based on Fuzzy Correlation Pattern Identification for Imbalanced Elements[J]. 2026, 46(4): 1420-1430. DOI: 10.13334/j.0258-8013.pcsee.242394.
A Spatial-temporal Distribution Prediction Method for High Random Fault Risk of Transmission Lines Based on Fuzzy Correlation Pattern Identification for Imbalanced Elements
the operation and maintenance cost can be further reduced while ensuring the stability of the transmission line. The core of the predictive maintenance method of transmission lines is to predict the spatial and temporal distribution of future high random fault risk of transmission lines in complex data environments such as bias and heterogeneity. Therefore
a fuzzy correlation pattern identification for imbalanced elements (FCPIie) prediction method is proposed
combining transmission line operational data with external environmental state information. Firstly
condition correlation pattern identification (CCPI) and probabilistic fuzzy inference systems (PFIS) are designed and integrated within a parallel learning architecture. The multi-type heterogeneous input features are evaluated separately
with common and rare distribution factors identified. Next
to address potential data bias
a fuzzy conditional correlation pattern identification (FCCPI) model is established for in-depth qualitative screening of both common and rare factors. High risk (HR) and rare high risk (RHR) factors are then extracted to clarify the underlying fault mechanisms
enabling the prediction of future fault risk distribution. Finally
the proposed method is validated through an example simulation
demonstrating its feasibility in practical applications.