Efficient Cross-entropy-based Importance Sampling for Composite Power System Reliability Evaluation Through Direction-radius Co-optimization of Random Vector
|更新时间:2026-10-12
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Efficient Cross-entropy-based Importance Sampling for Composite Power System Reliability Evaluation Through Direction-radius Co-optimization of Random Vector
ZHAO Yuan, JIANG Linzhi, XIE Kaigui, et al. Efficient Cross-entropy-based Importance Sampling for Composite Power System Reliability Evaluation Through Direction-radius Co-optimization of Random Vector[J]. 2026, 46(6): 2395-2406.
DOI:
ZHAO Yuan, JIANG Linzhi, XIE Kaigui, et al. Efficient Cross-entropy-based Importance Sampling for Composite Power System Reliability Evaluation Through Direction-radius Co-optimization of Random Vector[J]. 2026, 46(6): 2395-2406.DOI: 10.13334/j.0258-8013.pcsee.242242.
Efficient Cross-entropy-based Importance Sampling for Composite Power System Reliability Evaluation Through Direction-radius Co-optimization of Random Vector
The classical cross-entropy method (CEM) performs independent importance sampling of component states under the assumption that high-dimensional discrete random variables (RVs) are independent of each other. While CEM significantly accelerates power system reliability evaluation
this assumption limits its speed-up potential. To address this issue
an efficient variant of CEM
termed cross-entropy method with direction-radius co-optimization (CEM-DR)
is developed based on the direction-radius co-optimization of the random vector. First
a space transformation is applied to convert the discrete RV space into the standard normal space (SNS). Additionally
a direction-radius mixture distribution model is introduced to describe the random vector in the SNS
and cross-entropy co-optimization is performed on the multiple direction-radius distribution components. This method highlights the high-risk joint component failures
enabling joint importance sampling. Reliability evaluations on IEEE-RTS79
IEEE-RTS96
and other test systems are conducted to validate the superiority of CEM-DR over the conventional CEM.