ZHANG Guanglun, ZHONG Haiwang. Casual Relationship Identification Between Power System Load and Meteorological Data Based on Improved FCI Algorithm[J]. 2025, 45(17): 6612-6624.
DOI:
ZHANG Guanglun, ZHONG Haiwang. Casual Relationship Identification Between Power System Load and Meteorological Data Based on Improved FCI Algorithm[J]. 2025, 45(17): 6612-6624. DOI: 10.13334/j.0258-8013.pcsee.240407.
Casual Relationship Identification Between Power System Load and Meteorological Data Based on Improved FCI Algorithm
many variables appear as time series under different scales
such as voltage/current waveforms in transient analysis or power/load data. Among these variables
the relationship between load and other time series has been widely investigated in applications such as load forecasting or system dispatch. Analysis of relationship between time series can not only provide reference for research on unknown variables
but also can reveal the underlying physical laws of power system operation to some extent. However
in most existing research
the concept of relationship stays as correlation
rather than causality
which leads to the weakness of the physical meaning of relationship
limited information provided by some related variables
and the high complexity of the model. Current research concerning causality in power systems focus mainly on causality between two variables
which is hardly applicable for multiple variables. To this end
an improved fast casual inference algorithm based on multiple causality inference method is proposed in this paper and applied to infer the causality between load and multiple meteorological data series. Case studies based on real data from 2019 to 2022 are conducted to compare with a method based on correlation analysis
which validates the effectiveness of the proposed algorithm.