SONG Wenqin, GUO Weijia, LIU Xumin, et al. A dispatch model for urban distribution networks considering the uncertainty of virtual power plant regulation signals[J]. 2026, 59(7): 159-168.
SONG Wenqin, GUO Weijia, LIU Xumin, et al. A dispatch model for urban distribution networks considering the uncertainty of virtual power plant regulation signals[J]. 2026, 59(7): 159-168.DOI: 10.11930/j.issn.1004-9649.202511003.
A dispatch model for urban distribution networks considering the uncertainty of virtual power plant regulation signals
The integration of large-scale renewable energy sources into the power grid has significantly increased power volatility and uncertainty
posing severe challenges to the secure and economic operation of distribution networks. To address this issue
an optimal scheduling model based on discrete probability scenarios is proposed to tackle the uncertainty of control commands in distribution network dispatch for virtual power plants. Firstly
a generalized aggregation model for typical distributed resources such as energy storage systems
air conditioning loads
and electric vehicles was established to uniformly characterize their power regulation capabilities and operational constraints. Subsequently
the uncertainty of regulation signals is discretized into a set of probabilistic scenarios using historical data
and a bi-level optimization framework is introduced. In the decision-making level
the objective is to maximize the virtual power plant's profit by determining the optimal bidding strategy for energy and frequency regulation capacity. At the execution level
upon receiving regulation signals
the goal is to minimize operational costs by rapidly allocating power adjustment tasks among various distributed resources. Finally
case study simulations are conducted for validation
with results demonstrating that the proposed method effectively enhances the economic efficiency and operational flexibility of virtual power plants under diverse uncertain environments.